John Lott, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, penned an op-ed on Tuesday explaining that contrary to establishment claims, violent crime has actually increased under Biden and decreased under Trump.
In an editorial published by New York Postlot explanation There are two ways to examine the occurrence of violent crime: one is to measure the number of crimes that are reported to the police, and the other is to measure the number of crimes that are not reported.
Lott writes:
There are two ways to measure crime: the FBI’s NIBRS, which counts the number of crimes reported to police each year.
The other is the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey, which asks about 240,000 people each year whether they have been a crime victim, in an attempt to measure reported crimes and the extent of crime victimization. and Unreported crime.
He continued, “After 2020, [the] The two indicators were found to be highly negatively correlated. few Cases of crime have been reported, but people are Greater than How many people were affected?”
Regarding FBI statistics based on police departments/departments reporting crimes, on June 24, 2024, Breitbart News reported that thousands of police departments were not reporting crime data to the FBI.
Marshall Project explanation In 2020, “nearly every law enforcement agency was included in the FBI’s database,” the report said. But in 2021, the FBI implemented a new system for data collection, and police department reports will only be accepted through the new system.
The result? “Thousands of police agencies fell through the cracks because they didn’t catch on to the changes in time.” As a result, the number of police departments that submitted crime data dropped significantly in 2022. The Marshall Project reported in 2023 that “more than 6,000 law enforcement agencies were missing from the FBI’s national crime data last year, representing nearly one-third of the nation’s 18,000 police agencies.”
Key point: The mainstream media can rely on FBI statistics to report declines in reported violent crimes. So Lott Unreported figures When they looked into what was actually going on, they found that “for example, in 2022, the FBI reported a 2.1% decrease in violent crime, but the NCVS showed a staggering increase of 42.4%, the largest annual increase in violent crime ever reported by this measure.”
Near the end of the editorial, Lott noted that “while the 2023 homicide rate has declined by 13 percent, the preliminary 2023 homicide rate is still 7 percent above the 2019 level.”
AWR Hawkins is an award-winning Second Amendment columnist for Breitbart News and the author and curator of Down Range with AWR Hawkins, a weekly newsletter focused on all things Second Amendment, also for Breitbart News. He is a political analyst for Armed American Radio, a member of Gun Owners of America, and the Global Marketing Director for Lone Star Hunts. He was a visiting scholar at the Russell Kirk Center for Cultural Renewal in 2010 and earned his PhD in Military History. Follow him on Instagram: FollowYou can subscribe to Downrange at breitbart.com/downrange . To contact me directly, please email awrhawkins@breitbart.com
