Former President Donald Trump held a five-point lead in Arizona, a four-point lead in Georgia and was flat in North Carolina. The New York Times/Voting for the Siena College Presidential election will take place on Monday.
Political experts believe that seven states — Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina — will determine the outcome of the presidential election. If Trump wins one or more of these states, it will be almost impossible for Kamala Harris to secure the 270 electoral votes.
Arizona
Trump's Rapid increase Since August, he has gained 10 points in the Copper State, giving him a 5-point lead (50-45 percent) over Vice President Kamala Harris, who is struggling with Latino voters. Times Report:
Latino voters in particular appear to have drifted away from Harris, with a significant number (10%) now saying they are undecided, and Trump stands to benefit from a split vote there: Harris is trailing, while polls show the Senate Democratic candidates in the lead.
President Joe Biden won the state in 2020 by about 10,000 votes.
North Carolina
Trump holds a 2-point lead in the Tar Heel State (49-47 percent), the same margin of victory he held in August – a 4-point margin of victory – and the race remains within the margin of error (4.2 percentage points). Times Found:
In North Carolina, a state Trump won by just under 75,000 votes in 2020, he has a slight lead over Harris with 49% of the vote to Harris' 47%. (The poll was largely conducted before reports emerged that Republican gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson had made disturbing posts on a pornography forum, which some Republicans worry could hurt Trump's standing in the state.)
Georgia
Trump maintained a 4-point lead in the Peach State (45-49 percent), the same margin he held in August. Trump's 4-point lead remains within the margin of error (4.6 percentage points).
Biden won Georgia in 2020 by about 11,000 votes.
About 15% of voters in the three battleground states are undecided voters. Times Report:
But in a sign of how unclear these races remain, about 15% of voters in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina said they are “undecided” or “not sure” and could still change their minds — voters in those states who leaned toward Harris in August are now leaning slightly toward Trump.
Those three Sun Belt states have garnered a lot of attention from both the Trump and Harris campaigns, but analysts say North Carolina and Georgia are especially important to the former president's hopes of returning to the White House. Harris could lose all three and still win, but that would be difficult.
Public opinion poll sampling The survey was conducted between September 17 and 21 of 713 registered voters in Arizona, 682 in Georgia and 682 in North Carolina. Each state's margin of error is 4 to 5 percentage points: plus or minus 4.4 percentage points in Arizona, plus or minus 4.6 percentage points in Georgia and plus or minus 4.2 percentage points in North Carolina.
Wendell Fsebo is a political reporter for Breitbart News and a former war room analyst for the Republican National Committee. He is the author of: The Politics of Slave MoralityFollow Wendell “X” @WendellHusebø or The truth of society @WendellHusebo.
