The latest Quinnipiac poll of North Carolina voters shows former President Trump holding a 2-point lead over Vice President Harris, just a few weeks after Harris led Trump by 3 points. It was a reversal from before.
Trump leads with 49% support, Harris with 47% support, Green Party candidate Jill Stein with 1% support, and Justice for All candidate Cornel West with 1% support. Quinnipiac University Poll It was conducted in late September and announced on Tuesday.
In the head-to-head race, Mr. Trump leads Ms. Harris by one point, with an approval rating of 49% to 48%.
Pollsters say the race in North Carolina is “too close to call” and says Trump's lead is within the margin of error.
Still, the poll offers much better news for Trump. last month's vote The Quinnipiac poll showed Harris leading Trump by 3 points, with approval rating 49% to 46%. Stein followed with 1% support.
In a two-way election, Ms. Harris held a 3-point lead over Mr. Trump last month, with an approval rating of 50% to 47%.
The latest polls show that while Harris' support is increasing among independents, her support among young voters has declined significantly. Among Democrats, her support declined slightly.
Currently, independents favor Harris over Trump by 2 percentage points, 47% to 45%, but last month Trump had a 5 point advantage over Harris among independents (47% to 42%). .
Among voters ages 18 to 34, Ms. Harris led Mr. Trump 55% to 42% last month, a change of 31 points. Her approval rating is now down 16 points to 39%, while Trump's is up 15 points to 57%.
Among Democrats, Harris' lead has fallen 4 points from 99% last month to 95% in this survey. Meanwhile, Trump's approval rating among Democrats is now 3%, up from 1% last month. Among Republicans, Ms. Harris' approval rating fell by 1 point, from 5% to 4%, while Mr. Trump's approval rating increased by 1 point, from 94% to 95%.
Both candidates are focused on North Carolina as Election Day approaches. North Carolina, with 16 electoral votes, was the only state among seven battleground states where both candidates are fiercely contesting for President Trump in 2020.
The last time North Carolina voters supported a Democrat for president was in 2008, when former President Barack Obama faced the late Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
Recent polls show Trump and Harris tied in North Carolina polls. A poll conducted by Elon University and YouGov last week showed Ms. Harris leading Mr. Trump by one point. A CNN poll released last Friday showed both candidates tied, with 48% support each.
The North Carolina Decision Desk Headquarters and The Hill polling average shows Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris by 0.8 points, 49% to 48.2%.
The Quinnipiac poll was conducted September 25-29, 2024 and surveyed 953 likely voters. The margin of error is 3.2 percentage points.
