According to the latest polls, former President Donald Trump maintains a narrow 2-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the battleground state of Arizona.
The former president's approval rating appears to be driven by support from voters over the age of 50.
According to an AARP poll conducted from September 24 to October 24, 49% of Arizona voters favored Trump and 47% favored Harris. 1, released on Tuesday. According to the poll, Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 1% support, with 3% undecided.
The survey points to generational rifts.
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Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event Thursday at Linda Ronstadt Music Hall in Tucson, Arizona. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)
The poll's announcement emphasized that Trump had a 7-point lead among voters 50 and older, and a 14-point lead among voters 50 to 64.
According to the poll, Harris holds a 4-point lead among voters under 50, “although the race is a crowded race with older voters.”
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The poll also points to Arizona's gender gap favoring Trump.
According to the survey, former presidents and Republican candidates outperform Democratic vice presidents by 11 points among men, but only 6 points lower among women voters.
Vice President Kamala Harris heads to a packed rally in Glendale, Arizona, on Friday, August 9, 2024, making stops in battleground states on her way to the presidential election. (Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
The poll is the latest to show the margin of error between Harris and Trump in Arizona, where President Biden narrowly succeeded President Trump in the 2020 election.
Arizona is one of seven key battleground states that narrowly clinched the White House for Biden four years ago and will determine whether Harris or Trump wins the 2024 election. Very likely.
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The survey was released on the eve of early voting opening in Arizona.
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump during the first and perhaps only presidential debate on Tuesday, September 10, 2024 in Philadelphia. (Doug Mills/New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The major party vice presidential candidates, Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio and Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, will each hold campaign events in Arizona on Wednesday. Harris will return to the state on Friday.
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In addition to being a key battleground state in the presidential race, Arizona is also hosting one of the few Senate elections that will determine whether Republicans regain control of the House of Representatives.
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Rep. Ruben Gallego has a 51% to 44% lead over Republican candidate Kari Lake, a former news anchor who narrowly lost the 2022 gubernatorial race, according to an AARP poll. is maintained.
AARP poll The survey was conducted by the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D). The companies interviewed 1,358 likely Arizona voters. The overall sampling error for the survey is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
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