NBC News Capitol Hill correspondent Ali Vitali discusses in his Tuesday segment how Republican candidate Donald Trump has gained a new lead among white women over Vice President Kamala Harris in just a few weeks. defeated.
According to an NBC News poll, Ms. Harris had a 6-point advantage over Mr. Trump among white women in September, 51% to 45%, but former President Harris gained momentum and pointed out on MSNBC's “Chris Jansing” that he was in first place. I will report it. ” Trump currently leads Harris in the demographic by two points, slightly smaller than his lead over President Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.
“Among white women in that poll, Mr. Trump was of course trailing Ms. Harris. But Ms. Harris had a good and healthy plus-six lead among these voters.” said Vitali. “Then you see what a month can do. A month is an eternity in politics, and in a matter of weeks, white women will move to Trump's base and Trump will have a plus-two majority. It could also mean a pretty big change in a poll like this one.
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Vitali said Trump's 50% favorability rating with white women reflects his base in 2016 and 2020. In 2016, 52% of white women supported the former president, and 55% said the same in 2020. (Related article: “Are you giving up on us?”: J.D. Vance claims he's ignoring efforts to reach out to women, counters that he's “staking money on voting for his fellow citizens.”)
“If you think about it that way, he's kind of similar to where he's been in the past, especially when you look at where he's been in the past, especially when you look at 52% among white women in 2016. , he has shown a slight rise. 2020 will give him up to 55% points, but after that, of course, there are open questions about what will happen in 2024,” Vitali said. spoke.
“But if you look at Trump's approval rating at 50% in this poll that just came out over the weekend, Trump is starting to match up with where he's been in past election cycles, and we're in this really tense situation here.” , it creates an almost confusing dichotomy.'' White women voters may sway elections in key states like Pennsylvania, but at least in the polls we've seen over the years. On average, they may feel their ideology is more aligned with the Democratic Party,” Vitali continued.
In 2020, Trump led Biden among white women in Pennsylvania, 52% to 47%, and among all women, Biden led 55% to 44%. According to From 2020 to NBC News exit polls.
MSNBC national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said Monday that Harris' favorability rating among voters has fallen from 48% in September to 43% now, while her unfavorable rating has increased from 45% to 49%. He pointed out that he did. In September, the vice president led Trump 49% to 44%, but that lead narrowed in October to a deadlock of 48% to 48%.
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