Pollster Nate Silver said he had “tremendous sympathy” for Vice President Harris after her loss to President-elect Trump, and said he has “tremendous sympathy” for Vice President Harris before and after he withdrew from the presidential race this summer. He said it was because he “didn't show her any favors.”
“He gave her a tough challenge: the border, perhaps the worst issue for Democrats, and an issue that the White House probably knew would make no progress: voting rights,” Silver wrote in the post. I mentioned it inside. his website On Friday, he addressed his focus during his tenure as vice president.
“He blew up the debate calendar and left nothing scheduled after September 11th, even though this was one of Mr. Harris' best formats,” he added. “Until the very end, Biden was trampling on his message.”
But Silver argued that this sentiment distorts some positive views of Harris' candidacy, arguing that she is a “succession-level politician” and that the only way to defeat Trump is “average or average.” He said he needed someone who would be “slightly more than that.”
“People are conflating sympathy for Harris' position with that she was a good candidate,” he said, citing Harris' poor performance compared to Democratic Senate candidates on the November ballot. “Isn't it true?” he wrote.
“Online, Ms. Harris underperformed Democratic Senate candidates by an average of 2.6 points and a median of 2.4 points,” he wrote.
Silver said reasons for this poor performance include messaging issues and a “refusal” to differentiate himself from Biden, as well as his initial bid for the White House in 2020 and his latest challenge in 2024. It is said that it includes a change in her stance between.
“She may have tried to pivot to the center in this election campaign, but there is a lack of explanation as to why she abandoned her previous positions or what her policies actually are. “It was a clumsy effort at best, considering what we were doing,” he said.
Still, Silver argues that Biden would have lost if he had remained at the top of the race, citing internal reports that showed Trump won 400 electoral votes.
“When Biden dropped out, he was trailing Donald Trump by four points in the national polling average. In fact, I think the final margin was getting worse, not better,” Silver said. Ta.
