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Expect more restaurant bankruptcies in 2025, expert says

More and more major restaurant chains have been bankrupt over the next few years as the industry struggles to manage the heavy debts it has accumulated during the Covid-19 pandemic, according to bankruptcy lawyer Daniel Giltzynski. It may continue to be submitted for protection.

“The restaurants that exist today may not exist in five years. They're off the map,” says Gielchinsky. He added that consumers “have a lot of restaurants with reduced footprints.”

The latest casualties could be Hooters of America. It recently told Bloomberg that it is considering filing for bankruptcy as a way to restructure its restaurant chain and tackle its debt. The company will be the latest list of growth lists for major chains, including TGI Friday, Denny, Ruby Tuesday, Rubio's coastal grille and Red Lobster, which filed for bankruptcy court protection.

Other companies, including those that did not file for bankruptcy protection, have significantly reduced their footprint to better position themselves in their current environment. For example, Wendy's announced that it would be closing 140 inadequate locations by the end of 2024 as it seeks to improve its “restaurant footprint and overall system health.”

Hooter is considering the possibility of bankruptcy

“There are also small restaurants and mum and pop restaurants below,” Gielchinsky said.

Several factors have led to the downfall, according to Gielchinsky, founder and partner of South Florida-based DGIM Law. However, the Covid-19 pandemic has been a catalyst as traffic has dropped dramatically in the industry.

More and more major restaurant chains may continue to file bankruptcy protections, according to bankruptcy lawyer Daniel Gilkinski. (Getty Images/Michael Nagle via Getty Images/Bloomberg)

The operator wanted to keep the door open, so even if the client wasn't in, they needed to cover expenses like rent, insurance, payroll and more. . This means that companies had to accumulate debt and pay it back over time.

“There's no borrowing to escape. You'll have to always pay off that money, get it bankrupt and finish it, or restructure the debt structure,” says Gielchinsky.

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The problem, however, is that the industry is hoping that consumer spending in restaurants will return to pre-pandemic levels once things return to normal. When that didn't happen, according to Gielchinsky, the debt-filled restaurant could not pay back these loans.

Gielchinsky said topline revenue never rebounded.

General views of Hooters Restaurants on January 12, 2007. (Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images/Getty Images)

Consumers have become accustomed to eating more at home and saving disposable income for other things, and have them stop going to restaurants three or four times a week.

In addition, inflation was hitting consumers, particularly low-income households, more vigorously.

He also added that the popularity of weight loss pills plays a role. The drug is convincing more people to rely on healthy habits such as cooking at home.

The signature was posted on April 17, 2024 on the outside of the Red Lobster Restaurant in Lonato Park, California. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)/Getty Images)

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The industry's leading heavy hitters report a decline in store sales over consecutive quarters.

David Gibbs, CEO of Yum! The brand, the parent of KFC, Taco Bell and Pizza Hut, told analysts earlier this month that sales at the KFC store fell 2% during the fiscal year. For the last three months of the year, sales remained flat compared to the same period last year.

TGI Friday Restaurant Princeton New Jersey

TGI Friday Restaurant in Princeton, New Jersey, August 14th, 2018. (Michael Brochstein/SOPA Images/Lightrocket bygetty Images/Getty Images)

McDonald's CEO Chris Kempchinski previously anticipated a challenging environment in 2024, but warned that performance that year hadn't met that expectations. The company has rolled out a new value menu at its restaurants to rejuvenate traffic.

In a revenue call earlier this month, McDonald's CFO Ian Frederick Boden said the company's “outlook for 2025 is soft and soft in the US, reflecting the current environment of declining traffic in the restaurant industry.” Ta.

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