Results of a recent poll conducted by Brazilian company Paraná Pesquisas revealed that conservative former president Jair Bolsonaro (now running for office and likely to have faced prison for more than 30 years) will defeat potential leftist president Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva in a hypothetical matchup.
studyreleased by Parana Pesquisas on Tuesday, consulting Brazilians from April 16th to 19th, prior to the 2026 presidential election. In the future presidential outflow scenario, it was found that Bolsonaro would win 46% of the votes, and LULA 40.4%.
The survey found that if the first round, featuring Bolsonaro, Lula and four other candidates, is currently being held, Bolsonaro wins with 38.5% support and Lula wins 33.3% of the vote.
Bolsonaro, who? Small Lost to Lula in the controversial 2022 presidential election. Prohibited The country’s top election court (TSE), will run for public office until 2030 to question the integrity of Brazil’s electoral system during a meeting with foreign diplomats in mid-2022 when the Brazilian president was president.
Since he took office in January 2023, Bolsonaro has been a target for several ongoing judicial processes. Most notably, Bolsonaro stands defendant The Supreme Federal Court (STF), the Supreme Court of Brazil, is said to have been set in a “coup” that conspires with dozens of others to poison Lula and negates the outcome of the 2022 presidential election. If convicted in a trial that has not yet been scheduled, Bolsonaro faces up to 39 years in prison if convicted of all charges. stress In March, we will mark the end [his] life. ”
Other processes that have been launched against Bolsonaro after he took office include ongoing investigations. Appeal Bolsonaro is the president and I just dropped A study that investigated allegations that Bolsonaro ordered others to create a fraudulent vaccination card in December 2022 indicating that they received a coronavirus vaccination product to travel to the United States.
Bolsonaro is in the press recovery In the intensive care unit (ICU) at DF Star Hospital in Brasilia. On April 13th, Bolsonaro suffered a complicated 12-hour emergency Surgery Treat complications after previous surgery to address the damages caused by the failed assassination attempt in September 2018.
Bolsonaro I said There are currently no predictions for discharge from the ICU via social media on Tuesday. The former president also mentioned the results of the Parana Pesxas poll in another brief social media message that read, “One more! Draw your own conclusion.”
Paraná Pesquisas’ study also evaluated other virtual scenarios between Lula and other Bolsonaro-related candidates.
In a leaked future scenario between Lula and Bolsonaro’s wife and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, the former first lady defeated Lula with 45% of the votes against Lula’s 41%. CNN Brasil pointed Polls starting in February show that Lula defeated Michel Bolsonaro by almost seven points.
In another future scenario between Lula and Pro Bolsonaro, Governor of Sao Paulo Tarcio de Freitas, the survey found that de Freitas would beat the current sitting president with 43.4% against 40.5% of Lula.
On Wednesday morning, Paraná Pesquisas another A survey asking Brazilians to evaluate the current Lula administration.
According to the survey, Lula currently has a disapproval rating of 57.4%, compared to 39.2% of respondents who expressed positive image of a fundamental leftist president.
Another 36.7% of respondents said that the government in Lula was “bad” and 11.3% of respondents described it as “bad.” Of those who expressed positive sentiment from the Lula government, 18.8% said they were “good” and 7.8% said they were “good.”
Outlet Poder 360 It has been reported On Wednesday morning, the study’s results are marked the highest since Lula took office in its third term in January 2023 and increased seven points between January and April 2025.
Christian K. Calzo is a Venezuelan writer and documents life under socialism. You can follow him on Twitter here.

