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What to look for as Trump encounters Germany’s new leader Merz

What to watch as Trump meets Germany’s new leader Merz

President Trump is set to meet with German Prime Minister Friedrich Merz at the White House on Thursday, where discussions will likely focus on foreign policy and trade.

Merz, a leader from the center-right, has had his share of disagreements with Trump’s allies but is preparing for a significant diplomatic challenge since his election in May.

Here are a few key points that might make this meeting quite interesting.

Russia-Ukraine War

The timing of Trump’s meeting with Merz follows his discussion with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which Trump referred to as “a good conversation,” though he acknowledges it won’t lead to peace. Recently, Trump has expressed growing irritation with Putin, labeling him as “absolutely crazy.”

Since Merz took office in February, Germany has become a staunch advocate for Ukraine. He is pursuing a ceasefire agreement with Trump while strategizing to ensure Germany can bolster its support for Ukraine independently.

Recently, Merz had discussions with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in Berlin, where he confirmed that Germany would enhance its support for Ukraine.

During a previous exchange between Trump and Zelensky in February, Merz accused the U.S. president of “careful escalation,” hinting at tensions when Vice President Vance implied that Zelensky appeared ungrateful for U.S. assistance.

Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), who has just returned from Ukraine, anticipates that the meeting between Trump and Merz will be productive, especially given Germany’s commitment to boosting defense production and its military budget.

“Of course, the prime minister will be concerned about tariffs, and that could be a significant topic,” the senator noted.

Trade Consultation

This summit follows a day after European Union officials engaged with U.S. representatives regarding tariff negotiations, especially in light of Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs being set at 50%.

The EU’s trade chief met with trade representative Jamieson Greer in Paris on Wednesday. There have been indications from Brussels that they might retaliate against U.S. tariffs.

Trump initially set a 20% tariff on European goods, suspending it for 90 days before reestablishing it at 10%. Recently, he has threatened a 50% tariff, claiming that negotiations with European partners have been unproductive.

This meeting is crucial for the 27-member bloc as they aim to convince Trump to reconsider the proposed 50% tariffs. It marks the first face-to-face encounter between the two leaders.

Merz has reached out to other European leaders like Italy’s Giorgia Meloni and Finland’s Alexander Stubb for advice on handling discussions with Trump, trying to avoid the conflicts faced in previous meetings with other leaders.

U.S. Involvement in German Politics

Earlier this year, Vice President Vance met with Merz and Alice Weidel, leader of the right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party. Following that, Vance declared the AfD “the most popular party” in Germany.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has supported the AfD this month, condemning actions taken by German domestic espionage agencies, which have been accused of monitoring opposition parties.

Rubio commented, “Germany just granted spy agencies new powers. This isn’t democracy—in fact, it resembles tyranny.” Vance also echoed concerns regarding governmental actions against the AfD.

Merz has responded to Trump’s administration regarding U.S. interference in German politics, asserting, “We’ve mostly kept away from U.S. election matters, but that’s my personal stance,” and urged American officials to remain neutral.

Middle East Conflict

It remains uncertain whether the Middle East crisis will be a topic for discussion between Trump and Merz. Both Washington and Berlin share a viewpoint on Syria and have cooperated on managing Iran’s nuclear aspirations.

Merz may press Trump to urge Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to ease military operations and enhance humanitarian efforts in the region.

Germany has supported Israel’s right to defend itself against Hamas attacks but has also emphasized the need for humanitarian aid, responding to rising casualties and crises in Gaza that have prompted Germany to consider limiting arms transfers.

Trump has backed Israeli military actions, suggesting that the U.S. should take on administrative responsibilities in Gaza while facilitating humanitarian aid and negotiations for the release of American citizens held by Hamas.

His envoy for negotiations, Steve Witkoff, is advocating for a ceasefire alongside hostage release efforts involving designated terrorist groups.

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