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Study: Expansion of Stablecoins Might Raise Volatility in US Treasuries

Study: Expansion of Stablecoins Might Raise Volatility in US Treasuries

An increase in the adoption of Stablecoins may lead to heightened volatility in US Treasury securities with short-term maturities.

Some analysts believe that as these dollar-backed cryptocurrencies gain traction, their volatility could affect the bill market, as mentioned in a report by Reuters on June 6th.

The analysis suggests that disruptions within the Stablecoin market might result in liquidations that could drive down financial prices.

Additionally, if capital shifts from bank deposits to the Stablecoin sector, it might reduce the demand for US Treasuries from banks, according to the report.

Conversely, other analysts argue that a rise in Stablecoin transactions could actually draw in more T-Bill buyers, regarded as cash-equivalent securities globally.

The report highlights that the bills currently advancing in Congress will necessitate liquid assets like T-Bills for support. Notably, two Stablecoin issuers, Tether and Circle, already possess around $166 billion in US Treasury securities.

Furthermore, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bescent noted that implementing federal regulations for Stablecoins could boost the demand for US debt.

A report from PYMNTS in May discussed how the structure of Stablecoins is inherently fragile.

The reserves that help uphold the coin’s peg are often composed of assets susceptible to market shocks. If fluctuations occur, the issuer must either maintain the peg or adjust those holdings to fulfill redemptions if requested, which could lead to losses if assets need to be sold to cover increased redemption demands.

In March, PYMNTS reported that Stablecoins are distancing themselves from crypto exchanges and are becoming integral to the real-world financial landscape. They are, for instance, revolutionizing cross-border payments, corporate finance, and B2B transactions.

The bill currently moving through Congress aims to reinforce market trust in Stablecoins following notable collapses of algorithmic stablecoins and their issuers, as highlighted in May.

The proposed regulations would require issuers to submit a monthly preparatory report, verified by both the CEO and CFO, and audited annually by registered public accounting firms.

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