Recent storm systems forming near the southeastern US coast are catching the eye of the National Hurricane Center (NHC), as there is a slight chance they could turn into a tropical system.
The NHC notes that a low-pressure area at the southern end of a frontal boundary is expected to drift toward the north-central part of the bay. This is somewhat reminiscent of what was dubbed Invest 93L earlier this month.
If this system stays far offshore, there’s a possibility for slow development.
However, by the weekend, it’s likely to move inland, which should halt any further development.
Similar to Invest 93L, there remains a risk of heavy rain and thunderstorms if it evolves into a tropical system.
As of now, the NHC indicates that the likelihood of development is low.
In terms of rainfall, areas across the northern Gulf Coast could see about 2 to 3 inches, with some locations experiencing higher amounts.
While widespread flash flooding isn’t forecasted, localized flooding could occur in regions that have had persistent heavy rain.
When looking back at previous systems, this one is less organized, suggesting that it’s not as likely to develop compared to 93L.
That said, the southern flow along the northern Gulf Coast is expected to continue for several days, which increases the risk of rip currents at local beaches.
A moderate risk of rip currents is anticipated along the Florida panhandle from Destin to Port St. Joe, as well as from Daytona Beach to Melbourne and down the Atlantic coast to West Palm Beach, lasting into the final weekend of July.
The influence already felt along the southeast coast
Parts of South Carolina’s lowlands are already facing flooding issues. The combination of high tides and heavy rainfall has turned some streets around Charleston into makeshift ponds.
On Monday, downtown Charleston recorded over an inch of rain, resulting in reports of flooding on several roads where water has nowhere to drain.
Minor saltwater flooding was also noted around Charleston Harbor on Tuesday. The impacts are expected to persist as conditions track through the Gulf Coast.
