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As the smoke clears, will dumb, rich voters finally get it?

Will the wildfires finally wake up Los Angeles? Adam Carolla was evacuated from his home. utter abusive language That's what he thinks, speaking into a microphone in a Los Angeles hotel room.

Wealthy residents of the Pacific Palisades are scrambling to rebuild after the strong winds that sparked two of the largest wildfires in Los Angeles County history subside. house It would plunge us headlong into a thicket of state, county, and local permitting and building codes. after thatCorolla predicted, Only then Will they vote differently now that their neighborhoods are in ruins and state environmental regulations are their enemy?

It's sad that it took a conflagration for misinformed Angelenos to come to their senses.

That's a common illusion. The rich left has made a comeback, and that a comeback will ultimately count for the outcome of the next election is a fantasy familiar to outnumbered conservatives. In strange and chronically mismanaged California, that's the bread and butter.

But even if mainstream reporting is disentangling bad policy, such results are a long way off. corruption, Poor infrastructure and exorbitant DEI These priorities overshadowed prevention and doomed the fights against the Palisades and Eaton fires. Like Sacramento, Los Angeles is run by only one party. Whether it's fair or not, the responsibility lies there. empty reservoir,fire hydrant depletedand the frenzied evacuation of nearly 200,000 people.

Bass and Newsom curtains?

No one can control the 100 mph winds or the predictably dry California weather, but anger It's understandable that over-taking preventable measures could have saved the house. like power line A coworker of mine saw it hit a tree in Studio City last week, and talk of a recall has already started.

Far less likely to ruin a political career. Hunts for perpetrators are rarely fair or thoughtful, but Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass (D), rushing back from Ghana, looked stunned before reading a speech that read: It wasn't even calibratedand Gov. Gavin Newsom (D), who have advocated destroying dams along the Klamath River in the far north to restore salmon rather than increasing storage in reservoirs, have shown no benefit to themselves. do not have.

In the midst of all this, Carola feels angry that Angelenos are no longer embarrassed by high taxes, corruption scandals, drug RVs, or recent events. plunder The number of homes evacuated is undeniable. “Will the stupid rich voters finally figure it out?”he asked. “Will they understand now?”

Such judgments borrow points Victor Davis Hanson I've been making it for decades All of California — The Golden State's disparate geography (rich coastal plains, separated by mountains from the high desert and Central Valley) protects urban voters from the obvious consequences of green, radical, chic policy choices. It is being Carola, like Hanson, holds the classical assumption that humans are inherently limited in scope and selfish. Until they are in the game, those who profess to be selfless neither act nor necessarily act. know howAct wisely for the benefit of others.

Fair enough, but probably enough anger to change the leadership given. pure white medical record Is there an increasing commitment to progressive goals and attitudes by voters? Will smoldering ruins and forever-gone landmarks along the Pacific Coast Highway be enough for a political 180?

probably.

But somehow I doubt it.

Geography dulls politics

The factors likely to prevent fire-scarred residents from changing their political allegiances are the same ones that make up Southern California's great paradox: size, population, and diverse geography. be. Unlike New York or San Francisco, where the filth and violence due to its permissive approach to crime and drug use is bound to get ugly for everyone, Los Angeles is so spread out that it can hit rock bottom.

Southland's hills, valleys and microclimates form isolated enclaves, as evidenced by windswept fires occurring in multiple locations. No single city cluster towers over other city clusters, even in dense, high-profile locations. As anyone who has spent time in Southern California knows, Downtown Los Angeles is just a stone's throw (in miles or commute time) from Santa Monica, the Port of Long Beach, Disneyland, and other locations.

There is a political dimension to shared space, or the complete lack thereof. New Yorkers celebrating the acquittal of Daniel Penny, or Bay Area voters who ousted Mayors London Breed and Sheng Tao (a few years ago, San Francisco recalled openly extremist Congresswoman Chesa Boudin); You're far more likely to have taken the subway or walked downtown recently. More so than the people of Southern California.

Pacific Palisades residents may change their minds, but Silver Lake, Eagle Rock, Koreatown, Venice, Manhattan Beach, North Hollywood, East Los Angeles, Culver City, Whittier and even further afield There may not be much reason for left-leaning voters to concentrate in Claremont. To. They may be shocked and frightened, but due to the distance between them and the evacuation zone, few will be harmed or seriously inconvenienced.

In space and geography, there are infinite square miles over which the fruits of poor governance can spread, so widespread change is unlikely to occur based solely on anger.

dirty dream

On the other hand, Southern California's vastness (Los Angeles, Orange County, Ventura, and the Inland Empire count about 18 million people in 6,000 square miles) is an unlikely blessing. A Pasadena resident once said to me while camping out for a seat in the Rose Parade. If a bomb goes off in downtown LA, we might not hear it. We would still be sitting here watching the parade. ”

He wasn't wrong.

Another woman at the parade said she moved here from the Midwest because she noticed how bright and warm the city was in January. “I was watching this parade on TV and the weather was unbelievable!” she recalled. “Then I looked at a map and realized how big L.A. is. So many cities, neighborhoods, highways. I knew we would find a space for us here.”

Her statement may sound naive, but how many millions of people came west and settled here for similar reasons? Urbanists loathe L.A.'s sprawling, unattractive suburbs, but all these strip malls and residential developments are meant to serve as opportunities, good weather, good visibility, and land in far-flung places. It appeared simply because someone who was often occupied with life wanted it. they.

Los Angeles, which stretches over 500 square miles, is less welcoming today. The roads, water supplies, utilities, schools, and public spaces that made dry, fire-prone areas safe and livable are now less reliable and more expensive than before. But the potholes in LA far outweigh those in El Segundo. Cities like Huntington Beach, which has become a rallying point for protests against coronavirus lockdowns, are prosecuting crimes and forcing patrollers to move.

For now, a mass movement led by Carola's angry 1 percent is unlikely because there are so many better-run places to escape to than Los Angeles. Rather, it seems more likely that inertia was driven by the more than 1 million absentee Californians who left rather than stay to fight a stubborn, union-backed leadership.

Sorry, Adam.

nothing but a miracle

Fire violence could also add momentum to changes in headwinds. The same 6 million Californians who voted for Donald Trump in 2020 voted for Donald Trump in November's election, and all 58 counties passed it, shocking everyone. suggestion 36 — Theft and other crimes became felonies again after Newsom was poked in the eye. Surprising to some, but not surprising to those who remember past successes such as the passage of Proposition 8 and the 2003 recall of Governor Gray Davis, Californians everywhere United around a common problem.

The lack of fire prevention concerns Northern California residents just as much, if not more, than their neighbors here, but it could also be a rallying point. But given space and geography, it will take much longer for this common issue to become a widespread referendum on Los Angeles, or for that matter California's hated yet beloved Democratic establishment. Probably.

Rather, the incredible mismanagement on full display in the Pacific Palisades suggests that, despite its vast and idyllic nature, Los Angeles, or even San Francisco, was never intended for humans. It strongly reminds me of this. Without water and power pumped from places environmentalists don't want to know about, California's arid coastline would become uninhabitable. The Spanish sailors who first explored the island noted in their diaries the fires, lack of water, and overall harshness.

In order to grow its population, let alone become the world's fifth-largest economy, California needed to tame itself. The decline of social justice, identity politics, and livability for Mother Gaia is truly tame, a regression to a state of nature that none of us could have imagined.

It's sad that it took a conflagration for misinformed Angelenos to come to their senses. Los Angeles could advance legislation and fire safety initiatives in its next vote. Expediting building permits for wealthy residents who have lost their homes may be another easy solution that can be won without requiring structural reform or soul-searching of voters.

You might even see Los Angeles' hapless fire chief — who has said his top priority is getting more women and LGBTQ people on the fire department — donning a hat. But with a new humility, a new awareness of our vulnerability to the forces of nature, and a new love for the vast expanses of Southern California that already exist (the only vision and infrastructure made livable by some kind of miracle) Without it, we wouldn't be able to elect leaders we need.

If we're lucky, the embers along Sunset Boulevard will be at the bottom of Los Angeles. The final proof that we Californians ignore place, geography, and common sense at our peril.

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