President Biden and former President Donald Trump are locked in a statistical tie as they prepare for the first of two debates scheduled for next month, but voters Nearly a fifth of respondents say they may still change their minds about who they ultimately pull the lever for.
In a head-to-head contest, Biden received 48% support to Trump’s 47%. Quinnipiac University National Poll Voter approval ratings released Wednesday. A poll last month showed that Trump and Biden each had a tied approval rating at 46%.
Despite the incumbent’s lead, history suggests the margin is close enough for Trump to secure victory in the electoral system. In 2016, the Republican Party lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 2.1%, but won 304 electoral votes and became the 45th president.
The poll also shows that third-party candidates could steal more support from Trump than from Biden.
With the addition of independent and Green Party candidates, Mr. Biden’s approval rating fell by 7 points to 41%, while Mr. Trump’s approval rating fell by 9 points to 38%.
In the five-way race, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 14 percent support, while Green Party Chair Jill Stein and independent Cornel West trailed with 2 percent each.
Among voters who voted in a five-way race, 19% said they were very likely (3%) or somewhat likely (16%) to change their mind about who they supported before the election.
But Trump had a clear advantage among that group.
Just 8% of the 45th president’s supporters said he was somewhat likely to change his mind, while no one said he was “very likely” to change his mind, compared to 15% of Biden supporters. of respondents said they were very likely (3%) or somewhat likely to change their mind. (12%).
RFK Jr. supporters were the most likely to abandon their candidate, with 52% saying they would be very likely (11%) or somewhat likely (41%) to change their vote.
“You can call them fickle, you can call them uncertain,” said Tim Malloy, a polling analyst at Quinnipiac University. “A significant number of registered voters still struggle to choose a candidate, with Kennedy supporters particularly vulnerable and Trump supporters less likely to abandon their candidate.”
Biden and Trump were also nearly deadlocked on the favorability scale, with 40% saying they had a favorable view of the current president, compared with 41% who said the same of his predecessor. Both candidates received unfavorable ratings of 54%.
Biden’s approval rating is up slightly from the April Quinnipiac University poll, but it remains low, with 39% saying they approve of his job as president (up from 35% in April) and 56% disapproving (up from 61% in April).
Voters also said they were very interested in watching the Biden-Trump debate scheduled for June 27, hosted by CNN, with 72% saying they were likely to watch it.
Seven in 10 registered voters say they are following President Trump’s Manhattan hush money trial very closely (32%) or somewhat closely (38%), while 60% say they are following President Trump’s Manhattan hush money trial very closely (32%) or somewhat closely (38%). He said he believes the charges filed by District Attorney Alvin Bragg against the 77-year-old suspect are correct. Very serious (37%) or moderately serious (23%)
A further 11% said the charge of falsifying business records was not very serious, while a significant 25% said they did not think the charge was serious at all.
A majority (46%) think Trump acted illegally in this incident, while 50% think the former president acted only unethically and not illegally (29%) or that there was nothing wrong with him. (21%) believe that they have not done so.
As for whether the outcome of the case would affect their vote, only 6% of Trump supporters said they would be less likely to vote if convicted, while 24%, four times as many, said they would vote if convicted. The respondents answered that there is an increased possibility of doing so. Please vote for him.
The poll was conducted May 16-20 among 1,374 voters nationwide and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.
