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Fox News Poll: Voters view 2024 negatively but have hope for the future

The 2024 presidential election has dominated the news this year, and a majority of voters are not only excited about the outcome, but also have high expectations for the country's future. And while half feel it's been a bad year, the number saying it's been good is the highest since 2020 (the end of the first year of the pandemic).

When it comes to the future of the country, 55% are very or very excited about the future. This is an increase of 2 points from 2022 onwards. From 2021 to 2022, optimism about the country's future increased by 10 points. This question was not asked in 2023.

Overall, 45% have low or no expectations.

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The current numbers are driven by partisan rifts. An overwhelming majority of Republicans (86%) are hopeful about the country's future, but majorities of Democrats (72%) and independents (54%) are not.

In 2021, the situation has reversed, albeit to a lesser extent, across partisan lines, with 6 in 10 Democrats saying they are hopeful, compared to 7 in 10 Republicans and 6 in 10 independents. replied that he had no expectations.

“Since the 1990s, attitudes about the future have been highly correlated with partisanship,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who runs the Fox News poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Still, the fear and resentment of the past few years seems to be fading, and there is more overall optimism this year than we've seen in a while.”

Looking back on 2024, 4 in 10 (40%) say it was a good year for their family, but half (50%) say it was a bad year with an online rating of -10. This is an improvement from last year's -14 (39% good, 53% bad) and a significant improvement from 44 points (23% good, 67% bad) in 2020, when it was underwater. From 2012 to 2019, more voters felt positively about this year than negatively.

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By a 36-point margin, voters say 2024 was a bad year for America overall (28% good, 64% bad), compared to a net negative rating of 65 points in 2020 (13% good, 78% bad). Better than that. Since 2018, when the question was first asked, the country's year-end report card has remained in the red.

Democrats (50% of their families and 42% of the country) are more likely than Republicans (34% and 19%) and independents (33% and 21%) to say 2024 was a good year for them and the country. likely to feel it.

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Another hopeful note…

Half of voters said they were “hopeful” about how they felt about the 2024 presidential election results (54%), relieved (50%), surprised (50%), and excited (48%). , was highest among other emotions, including fear (46%). %), depressed (40%), and angry (39%).

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The Fox News survey, conducted from December 6 to 9, 2024, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), included a random sample of voter files from across the country. Includes interviews with a sample of 1,015 registered voters. Respondents either spoke directly to an interviewer via landline (125) and mobile phone (699) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (191). Results based on the complete registered voter sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. The sampling error associated with the results between subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can also affect results. Typically, weights are applied to age, race, education, and region variables to ensure that respondent demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight goals include American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.

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