As the nation waits for election results, voters are weighing the issues and considering whether former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will bring about the changes they want. Because change seems to be what they want.
Economic concerns and concerns about the future are key considerations for voters as they make choices in this year's elections.
Preliminary data from Fox News Voter Analysis, a survey of more than 110,000 voters across the country, can help you get an early sense of how voters are feeling as they cast their ballots.
More voters headed to the polls this year (70%) than in 2020 (60%) believing the country is moving in the wrong direction. And voters across the country want something different. Most want a change in the way the country is run, with a quarter (26%) calling for a complete and total shake-up.
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Voters' dissatisfaction with the Biden administration was quickly evident, with more than five in 10 disapproving of the job the Biden administration is doing.
By contrast, voters had a net positive memory of Donald Trump's time in office, with more than half approving of his job as president. Four years ago, 47% approved of the job President Trump is doing.
This desire for change is coupled with divisions over the role of government. Just over half of people say the government should do more to solve the country's problems, down slightly from 2020 (57%). Roughly the same number of people (45%) believe that government does too many things that are better left to the private sector.
Voters say the economy is the biggest issue facing the country, followed by immigration and abortion.
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Four in 10 voters say inflation is the most important factor in their vote.
Voters' assessment of the economy is dire, with two-thirds calling it “fair” (40%) or “very bad” (23%). Four years ago, at the height of the coronavirus recession, just 14% said the economy was in bad shape.
In a sign of the economic damage caused by inflation, nearly three times as many voters feel they are falling behind economically than those who feel they are making progress. Four years ago, about the same number said they were making progress, but in 2020, just 18% said they were falling behind.
For many voters, being able to afford food (67%) was the main budget concern, ahead of health care (54%), housing (51%), and gasoline (48%).
Overall, voters had a slightly more favorable view of Harris as a person (48% favorable, 49% unfavorable) than of Trump (46% favorable, 52% unfavorable). The same is true at the vice presidential level, with Tim Walz's opinion (43% favorable, 41% unfavorable) slightly better than J.D. Vance's opinion (42% favorable, 46% unfavorable). Ta. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who ended his third-party presidential bid in August and endorsed Trump, was less popular than his two vice presidential candidates (41% favorable, 43% unfavorable). .
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The spotlight is not good for Biden, whose significantly negative favorability ratings (40% favorable, 57% unfavorable) are down sharply from four years ago (50% favorable, 48% unfavorable).
2024 FNVA Methodology Statement:
Fox News Voter Analysis, conducted in partnership with The Associated Press, is a comprehensive analysis of voting behavior, opinions and preferences in America's polls. The study is based on a survey of the U.S. electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago and poll results from The Associated Press. For the 2024 general election, FNVA results are based on a probability sample of registered voters drawn from state voter files, a sample of self-identified registered voters from a probability-based national panel, and a sample of self-identified registered voters from an opt-in. Based on. On an online panel. FNVA's survey of American voters was conducted in all 50 states from October 28 to November 5, and ended at the close of polls on Election Day.
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