Gaza Split Proposal Gains Attention Amid Ceasefire

The fragile ceasefire in Gaza is prompting discussions about a potential division of the region into two distinct areas. On one side are those living under Hamas rule, while the other envisions a life without the influence of the terrorist group.

U.S. and Israeli officials are exploring a strategy for rebuilding portions of the Gaza Strip, particularly the areas under Israeli control, designated as the “yellow line.” Arab nations have signaled they won’t finance reconstruction efforts as long as Hamas remains in power. Experts suggest this initiative might serve as a model for transformation within Hamas-controlled territories.

Currently, about 58% of Gaza is under Israeli control. This includes all of Rafah and most of Khan Yunis, as well as northern areas like Beit Lahia and Shujaiyah, while Hamas governs the rest, notably the densely populated Gaza City. Despite the presence of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), Hamas operatives continue to be active near the borders.

New Framework for Gaza

John Spencer, head of the Institute for Urban Warfare, described the initiative to segregate Gaza into two sections—one controlled by Israel and the other by Hamas—as a “practical and psychological test.” This, he believes, could provide the people of Gaza a glimpse into life free from Hamas’s control.

Spencer refers to the project as the “Disneyland Strategy,” a term derived from U.S. counterinsurgency tactics in Iraq. The idea is quite straightforward: eliminate the negative aspects—Hamas, tunnels, and weapons—and replace them with positive, hopeful developments: new markets, schools, and infrastructure. The goal is to create a visible representation of what peace could look like.

He added that this approach mirrors the “clear, hold, and build” strategy employed in Iraq and Afghanistan, indicating that it doesn’t necessarily require Hamas to be completely removed from Gaza before improvement can begin.

Spencer believes that demonstrating a better way of living could influence Gazans and the international community, offering them a glimpse into a possible future.

Local Voices

On the ground, fear remains a constant for those living under Hamas governance. A resident spoke, albeit anonymously, expressing apprehension over reconstruction efforts being contingent on Hamas’s exclusion from certain areas. They lamented the persistent threat posed by Hamas, noting that while there are signs of life returning to normal, widespread destruction is still evident.

“Yes, food is available again, and prices are falling,” they mentioned, but the ongoing uncertainty cast a shadow on everyday life.

Meanwhile, activists on the fringes of Hamas’s control express their desire for change. Hussam al-Astar, leading an anti-Hamas militia, stated, “We are fighting for the people’s rights, aiming for a dignified life in a new Gaza.” There’s a sentiment among some groups that a potential reconstruction in non-Hamas areas offers a sliver of hope.

Accusations against Hamas for violent internal actions during the ceasefire have been made, highlighting the complex political landscape in Gaza. Al-Astar argues that international intervention is needed to safeguard civilians from Hamas’s authority.

There are indications that Israel is extending limited support to groups like al-Astar’s, which could reshape the power dynamics in Gaza. The collaborative efforts between local anti-Hamas forces and the IDF during recent conflicts may serve as a template for wider initiatives aimed at displacing Hamas.

Looking Ahead

As these developments unfold, experts suggest that the emergence of a “two Gaza” scenario may not be purely coincidental—it could be linked to prior policies established under the Trump administration.

Blood posits that a new reality is forming, where rebuilding efforts could progress in areas behind the yellow line, even as conflicts continue in the rest of Gaza. The ongoing military operations against Hamas will not hinder these endeavors.

He envisions a gradual establishment of an autonomous region in Gaza, evolving into a more structured governance system. The challenge remains in developing stable local leadership to replace Hamas, which could foster a rules-based authority moving forward.