A new national poll shows former President Trump has an advantage over Vice President Harris in the race to succeed President Biden in the White House.
A Wall Street Journal poll released Wednesday night found Trump with 47% support among likely voters nationwide, compared to 45% for Harris.
This is a switch from the magazine's previous national poll, conducted in late August, which showed Harris with a two-point lead.
The former president's lead is within the margin of error in the new poll, meaning either President Trump or the vice president could lead the race.
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Former Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump waves during a campaign rally at the Greensboro Coliseum on Tuesday, October 22, in Greensboro, North Carolina. (AP/Alex Brandon)
Wall Street Journal poll – It also shows that out of 1,500 registered voters questioned between October 19 and 22, Mr. Trump maintains a 3-point lead over Ms. Harris (49%-46%) in head-to-head contests.
According to the poll, views of Harris have become more negative since August, with her favorability rating at an underground 8 points and her approval rating as vice president between 42% and 54%. Meanwhile, views of Trump have improved, with voters approving of his past performance in the White House by a 52% to 48% margin.
The new poll follows a national Fox News poll conducted Oct. 11-14 and released last week that showed the Republican presidential candidate with a 2-point lead over the Democratic standard-bearer. It was done.
A number of other national polls in this area over the past two weeks, including CBS News, Marist, and USA Today/Suffolk University polls, show Ms. Harris with a slight advantage over Mr. Trump. But most opinion polls are within the margin of error.
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On July 21, Harris replaced the struggling President Biden as the top candidate for the Democratic Party's 2024 campaign, and immediately saw a surge in fundraising and an uptick in poll numbers.
During the Democratic National Convention in late August and the first and only debate between vice president and former president in early September, Ms. Harris led Mr. Trump in most national polls.
What the latest FOX News poll shows in the Harris-Trump matchup
But a number of national polls conducted in late September and October pointed to Trump gaining at the expense of Harris.
Latest FOX News poll results [Trump with 50% support and Harris at 48%] This is a reversal from last month, when the vice president had the upper hand.
Carville argued there were three reasons why Harris would win. One is that she has more money than Trump, that he's a loser, and that it's just his “feelings.” (Getty Images)
Chris Anderson, a veteran Democratic pollster who conducts research for Fox News with Republican Daron Shaw, said, “Overall, the movement toward Trump is subtle, but especially among college-educated voters.'' “If his support grows, it could have a significant impact.” “But for the past three months, the race has been within the margin of error, and the outcome will depend on which side can get voters to the polls more effectively than on persuasion. There is a high possibility.”
National polls are helpful, but the race for the White House is not based on the national popular vote, but rather a battle for states and their electoral votes.
And the latest polls in seven key battleground states that very narrowly decided President Biden's 2020 victory over Trump and are likely to determine whether Harris or Trump wins the 2024 election. , most of which are within the margin of error.
A Fox News poll showed Harris with a six-point lead over Trump among respondents in all seven battleground states.
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Although opinion polls predict a close race, Harris is the clear frontrunner in terms of raising campaign funds (another important indicator of presidential politics).
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse on Thursday, October 17, 2024 in La Crosse, Wisconsin (AP Photo/Jacqueline Martin) (AP Photo/Jacqueline Martin)
vice president The president enters the final full month of the campaign with a significant financial advantage over his predecessor, according to the latest federal fundraising reports.
The Harris campaign raised $221.8 million in September, more than triple the $63 million raised by the Trump campaign last month, according to filings.
Harris has been a vocal critic of Trump over the past few months, outspending him, and that trend continued in September. The Harris campaign's biggest expense was paid media, mostly advertising.
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However, the vice president enjoyed a significant cash-on-hand advantage over President Trump well into October.
At the end of September, the Harris campaign reportedly had $187 million in its coffers, compared to the Trump campaign's $119 million.
The fundraising totals reported by the two major party campaigns include the two national party committees, other affiliated organizations (both campaigns use numerous affiliated fundraising committees to raise cash), or Harris. It does not include additional funds raked in by supporting, coordinated super PACs. And Trump.
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