MSNBC's Joe Scarborough warned Thursday on “Morning Joe” that Democrats shouldn't be overly confident about their electoral prospects in key battleground states in November.
Scarborough pointed to polls showing no clear leader in key battleground states, including Pennsylvania and Michigan, and said it was unclear whether Vice President Kamala Harris or Republican nominee Donald Trump would win in those states, where the former president's support was significantly lower in both 2016 and 2020, the MSNBC host said.
“And if Democrats are feeling more confident, people need to remember that Donald Trump's support in the upper Midwest states was significantly underestimated in polls in 2016 and especially in 2020,” Scarborough said.
The panel showed the results of CNN/SSRS. vote This shows Harris leading Trump 50% to 44% in Wisconsin and 48% to 43% in Michigan, while Harris and Trump are tied 47% to 47% in Pennsylvania and Harris leads 49% to 44% in Arizona.
The poll was conducted Aug. 23-29 among a total of 4,398 respondents in six battleground states, with a margin of error of 4.9 percentage points.
Scarborough warned Democrats shouldn't get overconfident about victories in battleground states. pic.twitter.com/D7MYDE3hMV
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) September 5, 2024
Scarborough said the CNN/SSRS poll likely did not accurately represent support for Trump, and history shows Trump is effectively tied with Harris in those battleground states. (Related article: “Don't hide from Trump”: “Morning Joe” panel accuses 'mainstream media' of giving Trump unfair 'advantage')
“There were polls that showed Joe Biden leading by 12, 13 points. [or] 14 [points] According to the ABC poll, [2020] “In Wisconsin, it ended up being less than a percentage point. Same in Michigan. RealClearPolitics had Joe Biden at about 9 percent on Election Day, but it ended up being a close call. Same in Pennsylvania, upper Midwest states are underestimating Donald Trump's support. So any Democrats who think, 'Oh, Kamala Harris is going to win,' need to look at history. This is a close race,” Scarborough said.
Five Thirty Eight vote In 2020, Biden was leading Trump by 8.4 percentage points in Wisconsin as of November 3, 2020; Winner On election night, the state was won 49.6% to 48.9%. vote Biden led Trump by nearly 8 points in Michigan, but Biden ultimately victory In 2020, they beat the state by three points.
Biden too Winner In Pennsylvania in 2020, it was 50% to 48.8%, according to RealClearPolitics. vote Harris led the then-president by nearly 5 points. Currently, she leads Trump by 0.8 percentage points in Pennsylvania, 46% to 45.3%. According to To FiveThirtyEight.
Nationally, Harris leads Trump by just under 2 points. According to to the RealClearPolitics polling average.
As an independent, nonpartisan news service, all content produced by the Daily Caller News Foundation is available free of charge to any legitimate news publisher with a large readership. All republished articles must include our logo, reporter byline, and affiliation with the DCNF. If you have any questions about our guidelines or partnering with us, please contact us at licensing@dailycallernewsfoundation.org.
