Just over two weeks after being nominated, Kamala Harris has all but erased Donald Trump’s national lead.
She is also enjoying real momentum in battleground states.
Last week, I said we would have to wait until this week to understand how Joe Biden’s decision to drop out will impact the 2024 presidential election. Furthermore, we will likely see how the Democrats’ (and corporate media, again) near-decision to name Kamala the nominee impacts the polls.
Well, now we know. And what we do know is that former President Trump has gone from a comfortable victory to a statistically tied race, and Harris may still have momentum, meaning she could take the lead soon.
When Joe Biden dropped out of the race two weeks ago, the RealClearPolitics (RCP) national polling average showed he was trailing Trump by 1. it was fun He held a stubbornly steady lead over Biden of 3.1 points (47.9 percent to 44.8 percent). Trump’s lead was also growing at the time, and his approval rating had soared from 45 to 48 points in six weeks.
Trump’s lead over Harris is Evaporated It fell by just 1.2 percentage points (from 47.7 percent to 46.5 percent).
According to the RCP average of national polls in the five-way race, Trump leads Biden by 4.2 percentage points (43.4% to 39.2%), while Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads by 8.7 points.
In the five-way poll, Trump’s lead over Harris is at 0.3%, and has almost disappeared. What’s in Harris’ favor is that Democrats who were dissatisfied with Biden have left RFK Jr. and rejoined him. When Biden entered the election, RFK Jr.’s approval rating was 8.7 points. With Harris’ entry into the election, that rating dropped to 5.9 points.
The situation isn’t much better in the battleground states that will determine the outcome of the election.
Here are the average numbers for the 2-way/5-way…
In Arizona, Trump’s lead narrowed from the average. 5.8 points/7.7 Points To 4.2 Points/2.0 Points
In Nevada, Trump’s lead narrowed from the average. 5.6 Points/5.0 Points To 4.0 Points/tie
In Wisconsin, Trump’s lead is 2.9 points/2.9 points just 0.2 Points/0.3 Points.
Trump’s lead in Michigan has disappeared. 2.1/1.8 Point. Harris is currently 2.0/2.7 point.
Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania 4.5 Point to 2.7 In a five-man contest, Harris 0.2 point.
North Carolina is stable. Trump against Biden. 5.7-point Bidirectional lead and 7.0-point Five leads. Against Harris, 5.5 Two-way. Five-way voting is still not enough.
Georgia should worry Trump. The state looks pretty safe for Biden, but… 3.8/4.0Harris’ average is slightly off due to one outlier poll, but recent vote fundamentally show It’s a close race between Trump and Harris.
The question is: what is Kamala’s limit? When will her momentum peak? How does the Trump-Vance 2024 campaign plan to blunt this momentum?
Now the corporate media is running a two-stage campaign to get this failed extremist elected: first, the Obama “celebrity makes history” campaign, and second, the underground 2020 campaign where Biden is hiding from the media.
So far, it’s worked, but there’s still a long way to go, and Donald Trump is no John McCain.
RELATED — Pritzker: Trump is ‘confused’ by Kamala Harris and has no idea how to handle her
John Nolte’s first and last novel, Borrowed Time Winning 5-Star Rave Reviews Submissions from our everyday readers. You can read excerpts here here And a detailed review here. Also available in hard cover and Kindle and Audiobooks.
