Democrats are losing their edge over Republicans in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania, with Democrats more than twice as likely as Republicans to identify with their party, according to state data released after voter registration closed Monday night. is being changed.
As of midnight Monday, when the registration period ended, there were a total of 9,088,583 registered voters statewide. Registered Democrats maintained a lead over registered Republicans, with 3,971,607 registered Democrats compared to 3,673,783 registered Republicans.
More than 1.4 million voters are registered. Third Party or Independent Voters Located in the Keystone State.
Democrats account for nearly 44% of registered voters, compared to 40% for Republicans, but their advantage over Republicans has diminished this year.
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kamala harris and donald trump (Getty Images)
In 2020, there were 9,090,962 registered voters of each party in Pennsylvania, slightly more than this year's 9,088,583 registered voters.
President Biden won the state by 1.17 percentage points in 2020. The difference in registered voters that year was larger for Democrats than for Republicans, 4.2 million to 3.5 million. In the election that Biden won by 80,555 votes, Democrats had a registration advantage over Republicans with 685,818 voters, according to the data.
Republicans have narrowed that lead this year to 297,824 votes. Comparing registered voters this election year to 2020, Democrats lost a net 257,281 registered voters, while Republicans gained a net 428,537 registered voters.
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According to data from the Pennsylvania Department of State, more than twice as many registered Democrats changed their party affiliation this cycle compared to the number of Republicans who left the party, with 20,000 Republicans leaving the party. There were 54,668 registered Democrats, compared to 5,634.
The data is broken down by county, specifically in Philadelphia, where 18,928 Democrats reported changing their party affiliation, compared to just 3,401 Republicans who did the same. In Bucks County, a suburb of Brotherhood, 2,089 Democrats reported changing affiliations compared to 1,624 Republicans. In Allegheny County, home to Pittsburgh, the state's second largest city, 6,564 Democrats changed their party affiliation and 2,202 Republicans did the same.
A voter fills out a mail-in ballot at the Board of Elections office in the Allegheny County Courthouse on Nov. 3, 2022, in Pittsburgh. (Jeff Swensen/Getty Images)
The registered voter data was released after reports emerged that there were growing concerns within the Democratic Party that the Harris campaign was not effectively connecting with voters in Pennsylvania.
Politico reported last week that sloppy election management and a staff lack of relationships with Democratic political leaders in the Keystone State are undermining the campaign. The paper notes that Democrats are concerned that their state campaign managers lack an understanding of Philadelphia, the state's largest city, while campaign staff have been inviting local Democratic politicians to events in the state. The report said it is said that the government does not have agents in place and is not effectively deploying agents.
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Politico reported that it spoke to 20 Democratic politicians, allies and party leaders about the issue, and they reported that they were unsettled by the issue. Harris' campaign.
When asked about the report last week, Harris' national campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez told Fox News Digital: “Our campaign is running the largest and most sophisticated operation in Pennsylvania history. Yes,” he said in a comment. “The Trump campaign still refuses to tell reporters how small its staff is in the state, but we 50 affiliated offices and approximately 400 staff On the ground. ”
“While the Trump campaign closed its 'Office of Minority Assistance,' we invested in advertising targeting Black and Latino voters starting in August 2023 and are now extending our support to these communities to a greater extent than ever before. He's been active in Pennsylvania, spending one day out of every three in September. ”
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event for Divine Faith Ministries International on October 20, 2024 in Jonesboro, Georgia. (Megan Varner/Getty Images)
Vulnerable incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey distanced himself from Democratic leaders last week, launching a campaign ad detailing how he was “fighting back against Biden” and “siding” with former President Trump, leading to a nationwide It made headlines.
The ad features married couple Mary Grace, a Republican, and her husband Joe, a Democrat, touting Casey's support for President Trump's trade policies and efforts to “protect fracking” from the Biden administration. He praised him as an “independent person.”
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“We're really happy! But we don't see eye to eye on politics, except for Bob Casey. He's independent,” Mary Grace said, and her husband said, “You're right. ” I agreed.
“Casey is leading the effort to stop corporate greed from inflation and price gouging,” Mary-Grace continues. “Casey rebelled against Biden to protect fracking, and Biden sided with Trump to end NAFTA and impose tariffs on China to stop China from cheating. So… In this Congress, we agree: Bob Casey is doing the right thing in Pennsylvania.”
Democratic Sen. Bob Casey and Republican challenger Dave McCormick (Mark Makera/Getty Images)
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Mr. Casey has served in the Senate since 2007 and eventually became a stalwart within the Democratic Party, voting for bills supported by Mr. Biden 98.5% of the time, for example, according to FiveThirtyEight data. He now faces his toughest reelection bid to date, facing off against Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
Fox News Power Rankings rates Pennsylvania's presidential race as a landslide, and Democrats are seen as the favorites in the Senate race. But this week's Cook Political Report shifted the Senate race from a Democratic-leaning race to a toss-up race, highlighting Casey's tough re-election bid.
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Pennsylvania is being touted as a state likely to decide the outcome of the November 5th general election. A Fox News poll of Pennsylvania voters released late last month found Harris winning. just ahead Among registered voters, President Trump's approval rating remains at a 2-point margin (50-48%), while among likely voters, the race is at 49%.
Fox News Digital's Chris Pandolofo and Brooke Singman contributed to this report.
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