A new poll finds large gender disparities in two key battleground states of the seven states likely to decide whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Trump wins the 2024 election. Pointed out.
A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday found Democratic presidential candidate Harris leading Trump among all Michigan voters, 49% to 46%. According to the poll, Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West each had a 1% approval rating.
However, the survey points to a wide gap between men and women, with women favoring Harris by a 20-point margin and men favoring Republican candidate Trump by 16 points.
In Wisconsin, polls show Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump deadlocked at 48%, with all third-party candidates on the list receiving less than 1% support each.
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Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally at the University of Wisconsin-La Crosse on Thursday, October 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Jacqueline Martin)
Among women in Wisconsin, Harris leads Trump by 18 points, and among men, Harris leads the vice president by 21 points.
The news investigation is the latest to reveal the disproportionate disparity between men and women in the White House race.
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“This is a battle of the sexes, not a contest. In Michigan and Wisconsin, there is a clear difference between the number of women who support Harris and the number of men who support Trump.” Quinnipiac University said poll analyst Tim Malloy.
Malloy added that in two weeks, “everything will depend on who shows up on Nov. 5.”
Former President Trump speaks during a visit to his campaign office in Hamtrank, Michigan, on Friday, October 18, 2024. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Both polls point to some positive developments for Harris.
The last Quinnipiac poll, conducted earlier this month, showed Trump up 2 points in Wisconsin. The candidates from the two major parties are now tied.
Harris' 3-point lead in Michigan is a change from earlier this month, when Quinnipiac suggested a 3-point lead over Trump.
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Michigan and Wisconsin were close states, as were Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, and Nevada, which sealed President Biden's 2020 White House victory over Trump. Seven states will likely decide whether Trump or Harris wins this year.
Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are also three Rust Belt states that make up the Democratic Party's so-called “Blue Wall.”
The party held steady control of all three states for a quarter of a century, until Mr. Trump narrowly carried them and won the White House in the 2016 election.
The debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump was held in Philadelphia on September 10, 2024. (Doug Mills/New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Four years later, in 2020, Biden defeated Trump by narrowly winning three states and returning them to the Democratic column.
Democratic and Republican presidential candidates and their running mates have visited the three states repeatedly this summer and fall.
Wisconsin and Michigan are also home to key Senate races that could determine whether Republicans regain the House majority.
In Michigan, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin leads former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers 52% to 44% in the race to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow, according to a new poll. are.
And in Wisconsin, Democratic incumbent Sen. Tammy Baldwin narrowly defeated Republican challenger Eric Hovde, 49% to 48%.
of Quinnipiac University research The survey was conducted from Oct. 17 to 21, and the overall sampling error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.
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