Journalist Mark Halperin argues that Vice President Kamala Harris may not be as ahead of former President Trump as mainstream polls suggest, and that her electoral prospects may get even worse in the coming weeks.
Appearing live on his media platform, 2WAY, Halperin discussed new public and private polls that suggest Harris is not beating Trump in battleground states, and predicted that by mid-September, ahead of the June presidential debates, Harris' approval ratings could be the same as or worse than Biden's.
“There are some polls out there already and more to come. There are private polls nationally that show she's not leading in battleground states,” Halperin said.
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Journalist Mark Halperin recently argued that new polls in battleground states show Vice President Harris “not leading” former President Donald Trump. (Getty Images)
Former NBC News reporter Correctly predicted He reported that Biden is dropping out of the 2024 presidential race and added that while Harris appears to be leading “on paper” in current battleground state polls, her numbers are “within the margin of error.”
“And there are some battleground states that, on this trajectory, I think Donald Trump is going to have a lead,” he added.
A recent Fox News poll of Sun Belt battleground states found Harris leading Trump by one point in Arizona and by two points in Georgia and Nevada, but Trump leading by one point in North Carolina.
But as Halperin noted, these differences are within Fox's sampling error, making it difficult to know whether the Democratic candidate is truly ahead of Trump.
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Halperin suggested Trump's momentum could allow him to overtake Harris in battleground states by mid-September. (Ian Mole/Getty Images)
Halperin went on to predict that if Trump could tweak his anti-Harris message, he could gain momentum and overtake Harris in states.
“And no matter what happens in the interview, no matter what happens in the debate, he may be leading in all of the Sun Belt states by mid-September when things have settled and the Trump campaign has had time to exploit some of the weaknesses that I've suggested.”
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He also noted that Harris could well end up where Biden was in battleground state polls earlier this year — well behind Trump. Trump “could be ahead in Pennsylvania and neck and neck in Michigan and Wisconsin,” he said. “That's about where Joe Biden was before the debate, with a straight path to 270 electoral votes.”
“And that would be a terrifying situation for Democrats from mid-September through Election Day,” he concluded.
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