Pollster J. Ann Selzer inaccurately showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa after her pre-election poll sparked days of media uproar. We are “examining the data'' to find out the reason.
According to the paper, Selzer will “explain why a Des Moines Register-Mediacom Iowa poll released just days before the election produced a result so far removed from former President Donald Trump's landslide victory. We are reviewing the data for this purpose.” Des Moines Registration.
The shock poll showed a 7-point change for Harris from September, when the same poll showed President-elect Donald Trump had a 4-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%). . A Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll released Saturday shows Harris up 47% to 44% in a state that Trump easily won in 2016 and 2020 and is likely to win in 2024. was not considered a battleground state.
Selzer, president of Selzer & Company, which conducted the poll, declared that Harris had clearly “emerged into a leadership position” ahead of Election Day.
Pundits from MSNBC, CNN and ABC's “The View” all praised the prediction, and many media outlets took her words as gospel. Even if that doesn't necessarily mean Harris will win Iowa given polling averages, it could spark a broader shift toward Harris in more competitive states in the Midwest. The theory that there is one has spread.
'Enjoy your retirement': Veteran pollster mocks after Harris' prediction in Iowa was 'shockingly wrong'
(Screenshot from Bulwark podcast via Getty Images/YouTube)
“If this is accurate, and anyone is accurate, then the Iowa polls are likely to go to Ann Selzer. If this is accurate, Harris could win Iowa. “That's implied,” Rachel Maddow said.
Panelists on “The View” declared Selzer “always right,” and her track record was touted on CNN as “incredibly solid.”
Selzer looked hurt on Tuesday night when the Fox News decision desk made a call endorsing President Trump in Iowa, with the former president holding a commanding lead.
Trump's victory prediction has a bad reputation in the liberal media, saying it's 'like I'm going to puke'
Trump supporters were quick to point out that Selzer's polling was highly inaccurate.
Alex Latcham, Deputy Political Director: “Celebrating Donald J. Trump and J.D. Vance’s Victory” stated in a statement. “After four years under Kamala Harris, voters in the Hawkeye State are eager for President Trump to right what Kamala Harris broke. From day one, President Trump and Vice President J.D. Vance Retirees like Ann Selzer will help cut costs, secure borders, and protect Social Security. ”
“Enjoy your retirement…” Chris Lacivita, President Trump Co-Campaign Manager Posted in X He also included a screenshot of an article calling Selzer “the best pollster in politics.”
Mr. Selzer was forced to grapple with humiliating polling.
A Halloween display featuring an inflatable Donald Trump stands in Griswold, Iowa, Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2024. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc, via Getty Images)
“Tonight, I am of course thinking about how we got to where we are today,” Selzer said in a statement.
“The poll results we produced for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom did not match what Iowa voters ultimately decided at the polls today,” she continued. “I'm going to look at data from multiple sources in hopes of finding out why something happened like that, and I welcome what that process can tell me.”
Many others chimed in with X by commenting on the seltzer poll.
A farmer shows his support for Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump and his views on abortion on August 10, 2024, near Hawkeye, Iowa. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
40 Days for Life founder Sean Carney says the Iowa poll results are the result of an arrogant assumption that women are single-issue voters whose only concern is access to abortion. He said that it shows.
“The media ran this report because they wanted to believe it was true,” Carney said in a statement to Fox News Digital. “This just shows how out of touch they are with what actually matters to Americans. For too long, they have served as mouthpieces for political elites and failed to reflect their real concerns.” Instead, they have pushed a narrative that fits the agenda of those in power.''Despite clear signs that Americans are focused on things like economic stability, safety, and family, they have made abortion a topic that women don't care about. I tried to make it the only problem I have. Last night's results sent a strong message that Americans reject the media's agenda. tried to sell them. ”
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Fox News Digital’s Brie Stimson and Andrew Mark Miller contributed to this report.
