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Republicans Within Striking Distance of Democrats in Key Senate Battleground Races

Republican Senate candidates are within shooting distance of vulnerable Democrats in several key battleground states, according to the Siena College group.new york times/philadelphia inquirer poll.

A series of polls in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin — published Monday — showed Democrats in the lead, but Republicans came within 5 points in three states. The leading Republican candidate in the other state (Wisconsin) follows him by a single digit lead.

arizona (626 registered voters)

  • Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ): 45%
  • Former news anchor Kali Lake (R): 41%
  • Don’t know/refusal to answer: 14%

nevada (614 registered voters)

  • Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-NV): 40%
  • Let. Army Capt. Sam Brown (Republican): 38%
  • Don’t know/refusal to answer: 23%

Pennsylvania (1,023 registered voters)

  • Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA): 46%
  • Businessman Dave McCormick (R): 41%
  • Don’t know/refusal to answer: 13%

wisconsin (614 registered voters)

  • Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) 49%
  • Businessman Eric Hovde (R) 40%
  • Don’t know/refusal to answer: 10%

All samples were collected between April 28 and May 9, with margins of error (MOE) ranging from ± 3.6 percentage points to ± 4.6 percentage points, depending on the state.The difference between Brown and Rosen at Nevada was well within the MOE, but Lake and McCormick was Around MOE in each contest, times graphic.

Republicans are competitive in these states, but polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania, indicating a trend toward split electoral votes. It is shown. times I got it..

In a hypothetical two-way race in Arizona, Trump leads Biden 49% to 42%. However, Gallego is supported by more Biden supporters (87%) than Lake’s Trump supporters (77%).

The trend continues in Nevada, where Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden by a double-digit margin, 50% to 38%, in a two-way contest. Despite Trump’s lead, Brown has the support of 69% of Trump voters and 84% of Biden voters support Rosen.

In Pennsylvania, the gap between Trump and Biden has narrowed further, with the 45th president leading 47% to 44%. McCormick has 79% of Trump voters, but 88% of Biden voters support Casey.

In particular, Siena University new york timesand the philadelphia inquirer We did not conduct surveys in Maryland, Michigan, Montana, Ohio, Virginia, or West Virginia, but there are significant opportunities for Republicans to turn Democratic seats red in these states as well.