Scott Jennings on Gavin Newsom’s Presidential Viability
During a speech at the Manhattan Institute, Republican strategist Scott Jennings expressed skepticism about Democratic California Governor Gavin Newsom’s chances as a presidential candidate. Jennings suggested that while Newsom currently leads in support among potential 2028 Democratic contenders—gathering 21% among registered Democrats and their leaners—he is not particularly worried.
In a recent Yahoo/YouGov poll conducted from late August to early September, Jennings reflected on Newsom’s political image, which he described during a talk that was shared on YouTube. He humorously categorized himself on a “clown scale,” positioning Newsom as somewhere between “Chuckles” and “Bozo,” indicating a belief that some in the Democratic Party often nominate less serious candidates.
Jennings noted that authenticity is crucial in today’s political landscape, especially since Donald Trump’s rise changed the dynamics. He pointed out that candidates who lack authenticity tend to struggle, referencing former Vice President Kamala Harris as someone who fits this mold. He expressed doubts about Newsom’s appeal outside California, suggesting that not many Americans would desire a direction similar to California’s policies. Jennings opined that Newsom may be in politics for the wrong reasons, a sentiment he believes is noticeable to the public.
In an announcement made in October on CBS News’ “Sunday Morning,” Newsom indicated his willingness to consider running for president after the 2026 midterms. However, he has encountered criticism from California voters due to issues such as crime and homelessness. In fact, he has faced backlash from within his party after controversial remarks about transgender participation in sports.
Polling data from the Berkeley Institute of Government revealed a mixed view of Newsom’s performance; despite 54% of voters believing he was positioning himself favorably for a presidential bid, only 26% felt he was effectively governing California. An Emerson College poll in October further highlighted a close hypothetical race between Newsom and Vice President J.D. Vance, with 46% support for Vance, 45% for Newsom, and 10% undecided.
