Some House seats currently held by Democrats could flip in the 2024 elections, potentially giving Republicans a sigh of relief as they seek to further expand their slim majority.
All 435 seats in the House will be up for grabs this cycle as Republicans struggle to win seats in districts that favor right-wing candidates. Those battles are likely to take place in districts that Republicans won or narrowly lost in recent elections.
Republicans currently hold a 218-213 majority in the House. Wisconsin Republican Rep. Mike Gallagher, chairman of the House Select Committee on China, will leave Congress on April 19, as several Republicans have resigned or left the House in recent months. That number is expected to decline further.
Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan election analyst, currently lists 11 seats held by Democrats in this term’s “toss-up” races. Some of these districts include districts that former President Donald Trump won or nearly won in the 2020 presidential election.
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The six House seats currently held by Democrats could flip in the 2024 election, allowing Republicans to expand their slim majority. (Getty Images)
Among the many races that could flip in 2024, the six House seats currently held by Democrats are:
Maine 2nd Congressional District
Maine Democratic Rep. Jared Golden is considering continuing to represent Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (a position he has held since 2019) in November’s state election.
The state’s June 11 primary election will use ranked-choice voting, with two Republicans running for office: Maine Congressman Michael Soboleski and former NASCAR driver and state representative Austin Theriault. is trying to compete with Golden.
Once characterized by Politico as one of the “most Trump-like seats” for Democrats to defend, the district, classified as a “Democratic toss-up” by the Cook Political Report, includes Lewiston, Bangor and Auburn. It covers four-fifths of the state, including the
Despite reportedly having a strong chance against him in terms of voter demographics, Golden, a Marine Corps veteran, has sided with the party on a number of issues in recent years while serving as co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition. Although he opposed it, he won the election. He won the seat three times in 2018, 2020 and 2021.
Congressman Jared Golden (D-Maine) at the U.S. Capitol on March 6, 2024. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc, via Getty Images)
Ohio 9th Congressional District
Ohio’s 9th Congressional District, currently represented by longtime Rep. Marcy Capture, is a seat Republicans are aiming to win in the 2024 state election.
Ms. Kaptur, a Toledo native, has represented the recently redistricted district of Ohio in the House of Representatives since 1983 and is currently the longest-serving woman in Congress’ history.
But that could all change later this year, as Kaptur, whose votes are almost 100% aligned with President Biden’s interests, plans to run against Republican challenger Derek Melin. .
Melin was endorsed by Trump just before the state’s Republican primary last month and currently serves in the state House of Representatives. He previously served as City Councilman and Mayor of the City of Waterville.
The race has been classified as a “Democratic toss-up” for 2024 by Cook Political Report.
Representative Marcy Capture (D-Ohio) has represented Ohio’s 9th Congressional District since 1983. (Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call)
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Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District
In Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District, Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright is aiming to retain his seat in the House.
Cartwright has polled nearly evenly with Biden since taking office in 2019, providing a talking point for Republicans who have largely focused on topics such as the economy, immigration and crime. .
The state’s primary election won’t be held until April 23, but Cartwright, the party’s presumptive nominee, could face Rob Bresnahan Jr., the only Republican challenging him. expensive.
Mr. Bresnahan has served as chief financial officer and CEO of his family’s power contracting business since he was 16 years old, and his website states that he has a “powerful jolt of energy to Congress.” , is the only one qualified to bring about results.” Resident of Northeastern Pennsylvania.
The race is classified as a 2024 “Democratic toss-up” by Cook Political Report.
Pennsylvania Democratic Rep. Matt Cartwright has represented Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District since 2019. (Getty Images)
Washington 3rd Congressional District
Rep. Marie Grusenkamp Perez (D-Wash.), who is also co-chair of the House Democratic Blue Dog Coalition, is returning to the House of Representatives after serving one term representing Washington’s 3rd Congressional District. He is aiming for re-election.
Mr. Perez is running in a race classified as a “Democratic toss-up” in 2024 by Cook Political Report.
Perez, who was first elected to the House of Representatives in 2022, is one of five candidates participating in the state’s nonpartisan primary election on August 6th.
Current Republican candidates seeking to unseat Perez include Joe Kent, a veteran who narrowly lost in 2022, as well as Leslie French and Leslie Lewallen. included.
According to his campaign website, Kent is “focused on restoring common-sense Republican values and defeating woke extremist Democratic Rep. Marie Perez.”
Congresswoman Marie Grusenkamp Perez (D-Washington State) was first elected to the House of Representatives in 2022. (Javin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
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Alaska State Congressional District
Alaska State Representative Mary Peltola, the first Democrat to represent a large Alaska district in nearly 50 years, hopes to gain support from Alaskans through ranked-choice voting later this year. There is.
Mr. Peltola, who was elected to serve a full term in the House in 2022 and has since tried to portray himself as a moderate, previously served in the Alaska House of Representatives for 10 years.
Peltola, an Alaska native, is currently preparing for a final frontier political showdown in Alaska’s Aug. 20 primary against Republican candidate Nick Begich and current Lieutenant Governor Nancy Dahlstrom. Preparations are underway.
Peltola, who also co-chairs the Blue Dog Coalition, has faced criticism from his Republican challengers for not voting to support the interests of Alaskans.
“We like Mary as a person, but we don’t like her voting record. She doesn’t speak for Alaskans,” Dahlstrom told Fox News Digital earlier this year.
Similarly, Begich told Fox that “voters are outraged” by the way Peltola has represented Alaska at the federal level.
Congresswoman Mary Peltola has been representing Alaska in the House of Representatives since 2022. (Javin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Michigan’s 7th Congressional District
Another House seat, Michigan’s 7th District, comes after Democratic incumbent Rep. Elissa Slotkin announced she will run for the Senate seat vacated by a retiring senator in February 2023. , a vacant seat that many in the political world are paying attention to. . Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich.
The district, which includes Branch, Eaton, Hillsdale, Jackson and Lenawee counties, as well as much of Calhoun and Washtenaw counties, narrowly lost to Trump in the last presidential election.
Two former Michigan state senators, Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat Curtis Hertel Jr., are running to represent the district in the state’s 2024 election.
The race has been dubbed a “Democratic toss-up” by Cook Political Report.
Michigan Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin has announced that she will run for U.S. Senate in February 2023. (Caroline Brehman/CQ-Roll Call, Inc, via Getty Images)
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Republicans are also eyeing Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, where more than a dozen Republicans are in the June 18 primary, although it is less competitive, according to Cook Political Report ratings. and the Democratic Party are seeking nominations from their respective parties.
Former US Army Special Forces Green Beret, Veteran derrick anderson is the top Republican in the race and has the support of House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) and several other House Republican leaders.
The Virginia seat is currently held by Democratic U.S. Rep. Abigail Spanberger, who announced in November that she would run for governor in 2025. The seat is ranked “Lean Democratic” by Cook Political Report.
Representative Abigail Spanberger (D-Virginia) announced in November her intention to run for governor of Virginia in 2025. (Getty Images)
Despite a potential pickup opportunity for House Republicans, several Republican members, many representing districts won by President Biden in 2020, are at risk of losing their seats in the House later this year. There is a possibility that
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The Cook Political Report currently ranks 11 Republican-held seats as “toss-up” races this cycle, as well as current Democratic-held seats that could flip.
