It is the first time in 40 years that a Republican has carried New York state in a presidential election.
President Ronald Reagan won the state by eight points during his landslide reelection to the White House in 1984, the last Republican standard-bearer to achieve this feat.
But a new poll shows former President Trump trailing President Biden by single digits in New York, a state Biden won by 23 points over Trump in the presidential election four years ago.
What the latest Fox News national poll says about the 2024 Biden vs. Trump rematch
President Biden and former President Trump (AP Photo/Julia Nickinson and Evan Vucci)
The incumbent Democratic president leads his Republican predecessor among New York state voters, 47% to 39%, according to a Siena College poll released Thursday.
Trump beats Biden by a wide margin in states Obama won twice
The polls show Biden’s lead has gradually shrunk from 10 points in April and 9 points in May.
President Biden speaks at a campaign event in Philadelphia on May 29, 2024. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)
“Biden maintains the support of three-quarters of Democrats, but Trump has the support of 85% of Republicans and leads Biden among independents, 45% to 28%,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg.
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“The gender gap has widened again, with men supporting Trump 46% to 42% and women supporting Biden 51% to 33%. White voters are split evenly. Biden has a huge lead among non-white voters, but Trump has the support of 29% of black voters and 26% of Hispanic voters,” Greenberg added.
Former President Donald Trump walks to the podium during a campaign event, Tuesday, June 18, 2024, in Racine, Wisconsin. (AP Photo/Jeffrey Phelps)
President Biden’s approval rating ranges from 45% to 53% in the survey, and his favorability rating is at an all-time low among New Yorkers, with 42% favorable and 53% unfavorable. A poll from the University of Siena.
Trump’s favorability among local voters is even lower, with the former president receiving a 37% favorable rating and 59% unfavorable rating.
The Siena College poll was conducted June 12-17, questioning 805 New York state voters, with the overall sampling margin of error being plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.
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