Trump inspires more economic optimism than Harris
In preparation for the November election, Donald Trump leads the nation overwhelmingly on the economic front.successfully fended off Kamala Harris' efforts to convince voters that her leadership would move the country away from the widely hated economic legacy of Biden.
42% of Americans say the economy will be better under the Trump administrationcompared to just 34% who expect things to get better under a Harris administration. The poll will be released on Wednesday by economist And your government. Similarly, 36% of Americans say the economy will get worse under Trump, while 42% say the economy will get worse if Harris wins.
Please note that these numbers are not necessarily exclusive. Some people may hope that the economy will get better, worse, or remain the same no matter who is elected.
Of course, behind these numbers lies a major partisan divide. 69% of Democrats say the economy will worsen under the Trump administrationand 84% of Republicans say things will get worse under Harris. Among voters who said they planned to vote for Harris, 74% said the situation would get worse under Trump. 93% of Trump supporters believe the economy will worsen if Harris wins.
But there is an enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats, and between Harris supporters and Trump supporters. 69% of Democrats and 73 Harris supporters say they expect the economy to improve if their candidate wins, but 84% of Republicans and 93% of Trump supporters say they expect better days for the economy if Trump wins..
Looking at independents, Trump has a clear lead. Only 25% of independents expect the economy to improve if Harris wins.compared to 40% who expect it to worsen. Thirty-six percent expect the economy to improve if Trump wins, while 33% expect the economy to worsen.
Trump wins among Hispanic, white and older voters
Mr. Trump has a very large lead among white voters and a narrow but still significant lead among Hispanic voters. Thirty percent of white voters think the economy will improve if Harris is elected, and 50% think the economy will get worse. 49% said things would be better if Trump won.33% say it will get worse. Thirty percent of Hispanic voters said the economy would be better under Harris, while 36% said the economy would be worse. Thirty-seven percent of respondents said the economy would improve if Trump were elected, while 33% said the economy would worsen.
Harris leads among young voters and black voters. 39% of voters under 29 say they expect the economy to improve under a Harris administration31% expected it to improve under the Trump administration. Fifty-seven percent of Black voters say the economy will improve under Harris, compared to just 19% who expect it to improve under Trump.
But older voters support Trump.. Among those aged 30 to 44, 33% expect an improvement under the Harris administration, and 39% expect an improvement under the Trump administration. Among those aged 45 to 64, 31% expect improvements under the Harris administration, and 43% expect improvements under the Trump administration. Among older voters, 34% expect things to improve under the Harris administration, while a majority (55%) expect them to improve under the Trump administration.
Optimism grows among Democrats, Republicans, and independents
One aspect of economic sentiment that gets less attention is the The percentage of Americans who are optimistic increases About the economy. In July, 22% of voters expected life to be better in a year, 35% thought it would be about the same, and 22% expected it to be worse. However, the percentage of people who expect household finances to improve is increasing. The latest poll found that 31% think things are getting better, 32% expect things to stay the same and 16% think things will get worse.
The rise of optimism is clearly not a partisan issue. In July, 26% of Democrats said they expected life to be better a year from now. A month ago, 36% were optimistic. In the latest poll, 42% expect their lives to get better. Among Republicans, 23% are now wealthy, up from 20% in July and 17% in September. Optimism among independents now stands at 28%, up from 17% in July and 19% in September.
A very obvious interpretation of these results is as follows. Optimism is rising, with partisans looking at their candidates' chances of winning.. When Harris became the nominee to replace Joe Biden, Democrats' economic optimism soared, but Republicans' optimism faded. Over the past month, both sides believe their chances have improved, adding to their optimism about the economy. The increase in independents may be related to expectations that Trump will win, as independents are much more likely to expect the economy to improve if Trump wins than if Harris wins. Very sensitive.
(Photo: Rafael AS Martins/Unsplash, Erin Scott/White House, BNN)
Highlight it again and close it Divergent views between voters and Wall Street economists. In addition to Trump's better numbers on improving the economy, the latest ABC poll shows Trump with an 8-point lead on the economy and a 7-point lead on inflation. a wall street journal Battleground state polls Trump leads on the economy by 10 points (50% to 40%). Meanwhile, Wall Street economists believe Harris will grow the economy faster than Trump, and lower inflation and interest rates.
When it comes to economics, Harris is a Wall Street economist's bet. Trump is the American people's bet.
