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Trump’s ground game shrinks voter registration gap in key battlegrounds

Former President Donald Trump's campaign said it was devoting its “utmost attention and resources” to campaigning in battleground states, and that it was working.

In key battleground states where voters register by party and where the 2020 election was close, Republicans have eroded Democrats' voter registration advantages, in some cases losing registered voters by hundreds of thousands.

During the 2020 election, registered Democrats outnumbered registered Republicans in Pennsylvania by about 685,000. But by Election Day 2024, that gap will have narrowed significantly, with registered Democrats outnumbering registered Republicans by about 343,000, according to the Trump campaign, which said it collected data from the secretaries of state of Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina and Arizona.

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Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally on Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2024, in Uniondale, New York. (Julia Bonavita/Fox News Digital)

Similarly, in Nevada, there were 87,000 more Democratic voters than Republican voters in 2020. But on Election Day 2024, there will be only 19,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans.

In North Carolina, the gap is similarly narrow in 2024, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by just 126,000, down from 391,000 registered Democrats in the last election.

And in Arizona, there were 259,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats by the end of July, doubling the GOP's advantage since 2020.

“Everybody who is voting in this election has been through both administrations, and President Trump is handily beating Kamala Harris,” Trump campaign senior adviser Tim Murtaugh told Fox News Digital. “Elections are won by people who show up to the polls, and that's where the local work that the Trump campaign, the Republican National Committee and many of our Republican allies have worked together is key.”

“The Democrats' big leads in voter registration in key states have disappeared,” Murtaugh told Fox News Digital.

“And in a state where the winner is decided by just a percentage point, that can make a big difference,” Murtaugh said.

But the Democratic National Committee countered, “Even Trump and his RNC supporters admit they are powerless to campaign locally, and are more focused on voter suppression than on winning.”

DNC spokesman Alex Floyd said the organization is committed to protecting voter rights and ensuring “every eligible voter can cast their ballot while Vice President Harris and Governor Walz speak about issues important to the American people.”

“Meanwhile, President Trump and the Republican Party are saddled with their deeply unpopular Project 2025 policies, giving voters every day more reason to reject the Republican Party's dangerous extremism at the polls in November,” Floyd said.

The Trump campaign has repeatedly denied that Trump has anything to do with Project 2025.

As the Trump campaign's joint ground operations continue to expand, the campaign is focusing on less-engaged voters in its “get out the vote” efforts, encouraging them to vote early.

Across battleground states, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee have hundreds of paid staffers and more than 300 Trump/Republican offices.

In July, the Trump campaignTrump Force 47“Grassroots efforts to recruit new voters”

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Uniondale, New York

Former President Donald Trump speaks at a rally on Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2024, in Uniondale, New York. (Julia Bonavita/Fox News Digital)

The campaign said the program is focused on mobilizing “targeted voters in key battleground states and districts” and already has tens of thousands of volunteers on board.

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A Trump campaign official told Fox News Digital that there are already more than 27,000 trained Trump Force 47 commanders, and they continue to train daily, adding thousands more each week.

This effort doesn't just involve the leaders of Trump Force 47, but hundreds of thousands of volunteers doing phone banking, canvassing, writing postcards, community outreach, and vote monitoring.

The campaign said the joint effort and the Trump Force 47 model are focused on devoting “maximum attention and resources” to encouraging infrequent and “occasional” voters to turn out to the polls.

“We are prioritizing personal contact with voters who are less likely to participate in elections and more disengaged from politics than motivated or repeat voters,” a campaign official told Fox News Digital.

Campaign officials also said they are more focused than ever on “meeting voters where they are.”

“From traditional voter outreach like phone calls, door-to-door canvassing, postcards and mail, to TikTok and outside groups, our voter outreach efforts are more modern and efficient than ever before,” officials said.

Fox News Digital learned that the Trump campaign's allied efforts will canvass approximately 15 million homes during voting periods across battleground states.

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Republican presidential candidate and former president Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at Wilmington International Airport, Saturday, September 21, 2024, in Wilmington, North Carolina. (AP Photo/Chris Seward)

The Trump campaign's on-the-ground efforts have focused on volume, while its in-campaign programs have focused on reaching previously overlooked or disengaged voters.

“We need voters to do what they normally do, which is go to their polling place and cast their vote,” the official said.

Meanwhile, particularly in Pennsylvania, the Trump campaign is registering voters door-to-door, at rallies, grocery stores, sporting goods stores, houses of worship and college tailgate parties.

Officials told Fox News Digital that the team is reaching out to voters of all backgrounds through various communities, including Hispanic voters, Jewish voters, Black voters, younger voters and older voters.

“President Trump is well positioned to win the November election thanks to our robust on-the-ground operations and a broad coalition of his supporters and allies,” the official said.

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A new poll released Monday by The New York Times and Siena College shows Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in Arizona, 50th to Harris, 45th. Trump also leads in Georgia, 49-45, and North Carolina, 49-45.

Harris is leading Trump by less than one point in Pennsylvania, and Trump and Harris are tied in Nevada, according to the RealClearPolitics Average.

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