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USD/CHF Prediction: Stalls around 0.8100; bulls stay in charge

USD/CHF rises due to safe-haven demand as SNB approach limits CHF declines

This week, the USD/CHF pair has seen a notable recovery, bouncing back from the 0.7900 level. As of Friday, it has gained momentum for three consecutive days, moving closer to the 0.8100 threshold during early trading in Europe—the highest it’s been since November 2025—thanks to the strength of the US dollar.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the dollar against a variety of currencies, reached its peak since May 2025. This uptrend is occurring alongside the Federal Reserve’s assertive stance and uncertainties regarding the impending talks between the US and Iran. Interestingly, US Vice President J.D. Vance has canceled a planned meeting in Switzerland related to Iran. Additionally, recent airstrikes by Israel in Lebanon could complicate the US-Iran negotiations, further bolstering the safe-haven status of the US dollar and, in turn, the USD/CHF pair.

The recent surge above the critical 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the significant psychological level of 0.8000, alongside the year-to-date high set in January, are pivotal factors for bullish traders. Moreover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains positive, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the USD/CHF pair and hinting at more gains in the near future.

On another note, the Relative Strength Index (14) has crested into the low 60s, indicating strong bullish momentum nearing overbought territory. The immediate question now is whether buyers can keep the USD/CHF pair well above recent breakout points, particularly with the 0.7907 area highlighted by the 200-day SMA acting as a key reference for any pullbacks.

If the daily closing price trends back toward the moving average, it might suggest a loss of momentum and indicate a broader consolidation phase. However, sustained strength above the 0.8000 level could lead to further increases, provided that momentum doesn’t turn sharply negative from these overbought conditions.

USD/CHF daily chart

USD price this week

The table below shows the percentage change of the US dollar (USD) against major currencies this week. The US dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD australian dollar new zealand dollar swiss franc
USD 0.98% 1.36% 0.71% 1.03% 0.35% 1.49% 1.18%
EUR -0.98% 0.35% -0.26% 0.05% -0.64% 0.51% 0.20%
GBP -1.36% -0.35% -0.79% -0.30% -0.99% 0.16% -0.15%
JPY -0.71% 0.26% 0.79% 0.31% -0.36% 0.81% 0.46%
CAD -1.03% -0.05% 0.30% -0.31% -0.70% 0.50% 0.16%
australian dollar -0.35% 0.64% 0.99% 0.36% 0.70% 1.15% 0.84%
new zealand dollar -1.49% -0.51% -0.16% -0.81% -0.50% -1.15% -0.30%
swiss franc -1.18% -0.20% 0.15% -0.46% -0.16% -0.84% 0.30%

The heat map shows the percentage change between major currencies. The base currency is selected from the left column and the quote currency is selected from the top row. For example, if you select USD from the left column and move along the horizontal line to Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box represents USD (base)/JPY (estimate).

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