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Voter registration shows troubling sign for Democrats in battleground state

(The Center Square) – When voter registration closed Friday night, more than 7.7 million North Carolinians were on rolls ahead of the start of in-person early voting Thursday.

That's up from 7.3 million people on Election Day 2020 and more than 800,000 more than in 2016.

By voting bloc, independents continue to be the biggest gainers, while the Democratic Party, which was the overwhelmingly popular party 20 years ago, is the biggest loser.

Republicans, on the other hand, have had the smallest percentage change over the past 20 years and the past 12 years.


Absentee ballots are being prepared to be mailed out in Raleigh, North Carolina ahead of Election Day, September 17, 2024. Photo by Alison Joyce/Getty Images

North Carolina allows same-day registration during the early voting period. Otherwise, the registration deadline has ended.

Election Day is in 22 days This cycle will be the longest for statewide voting. – President; 14 seats in the House of Representatives. Governor and nine other State Council seats. One seat on the state Supreme Court and three seats on the Court of Appeals. In addition to local elections, the General Assembly will include 50 state senators and 120 state representatives.

All three major voting blocs have increased since January 1, 2004, when the state boasted just over 5 million registered voters.

Since the 2020 election, independent parties have gained nearly half a million (472,559). The Democratic Party lost 199,981 people. Republicans increased by 76,350 people.

January 1, 2004The state's more than 5 million registered voters are split between 47.6% Democrats, 34.4% Republicans and 17.7% independents. until saturday37.8% are independents, 31.3% are Democrats, and 29.9% are Republicans.

Since Labor Day, independents have increased by 0.2%, Democrats have decreased by 0.3%, and Republicans are about the same.

For Democrats and independents, the two-decade trend has continued steadily. The largest two-year increase in total enrollment (presidential-to-interim or interim-to-presidential-year cycles) was when total enrollment exceeded the previous year. Groundbreaking 2008 Cycle When Barack Obama was elected president.

More than 800,000 registrations were added between the 2006 midterm elections and Election Day. Obama's campaign strategy for field offices in the state was critical to Democrats winning the state's electoral votes, the first time since 1976, the second time since 1964, and the last to date. Ta.

Still, it was the independent bloc that saw support increase from 19.4% to 22.2%, while the Democratic Party saw a slight drop from 45.9% to 45.8%.

The Grand Old Party had the largest decline from 34.7% to 31.9% in presidential year-to-midterm or midterm-to-presidential-year cycles over the past 20 years.

There were 442,600 fewer registered Democrats as of Saturday than there were on the day of Obama's victory. Total registrations increased by 1,471,381. The number of independents increased by 1,533,331. and Republicans increased by 306,941.

Of the parties that petitioned for ballot access this summer, We the People had 1,029 registrations, the Constitution Party had 380, and Justice for All had 341.

The latter gained access after three Fayetteville residents filed a successful lawsuit against the state Board of Elections. Nine of the registrations are in Cumberland County.

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