A new poll conducted after Super Tuesday reveals that voters in the 2020 battleground state of North Carolina are leaning toward former President Trump over incumbent President Biden in 2024 by a 5.4-point margin. became.
According to a statewide poll conducted by Signal March 6-7 and published Tuesday in the Carolina Journal, 45.2% of likely voters said they planned to vote for Trump, with 39% saying they planned to vote for Trump. .8% said they planned to vote for Biden.
A significant portion (9.4%) of potential voters said they planned to vote for “someone else.” As the newspaper noted, that would be a significant increase from the less than 1.5% of votes cast for third-party candidates in North Carolina in 2020.
“Trump’s lead is somewhat unsurprising considering he won the state by 3.6% and 1.3% in 2016 and 2020, respectively. But with 238 days until November 5th, , I would like to pay attention to how this fluctuation will turn out,” said Carolina. said Donald Bryson, publisher of the Journal and CEO of the John Locke Foundation.
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Former President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign event at the Greensboro Coliseum on March 2, 2024 in Greensboro, North Carolina. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
In the gubernatorial race, 43.8% of voters said they would vote for Republican Lt. Governor Mark Robinson, a 4.8 percentage point increase over the 39.0% who said they would vote for Democratic Attorney General Josh Stein. . A majority of local voters (53%) said they planned to vote for Robinson, according to the poll.
Among suburban and urban voters, 46% and 47%, respectively, said they would vote for Mr. Stein.
“Both Josh Stein and Mark Robinson have shown the ability to win and raise money in races across the state. The race for the executive mansion will be a hot topic in North Carolina,” Bryson said.
North Carolina Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson speaks at former President Donald Trump’s “Save America” rally on September 23, 2022 in Wilmington, North Carolina. (Alison Joyce/Getty Images)
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The paper noted that support for Republican candidates has increased in every race polled.
Michelle Morrow won the Republican primary for North Carolina Superintendent of Public Instruction held on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. (North Carolina Tomorrow 4th)
In a recent upheaval notable for President Trump’s influence on politics in the Tar Heel State, a home-schooling parent and Republican newcomer critical of public schools’ “radical policies” on race and gender ideology Michelle Morrow recently defeated the incumbent in the state’s Republican primary. Republican North Carolina Public Instruction Superintendent Catherine Truitt; A new poll released Tuesday shows 40.8% of likely voters backing Morrow and 39.1% going to Democrat Maurice “Mo” Green to retain North Carolina’s top school spot in November. He said he planned to vote.
“The loss of Superintendent Catherine Truitt in the primary and four vacant seats makes 2024 a volatile year for the North Carolina General Assembly,” Bryson said. “Aside from these individual racial dramas, there is also the question of whether Republicans will be able to maintain a majority on the council, which also makes policy decisions.”
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