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Will Cisco’s Stock Increase After Tonight’s Q2 Earnings?

Will Cisco's Stock Increase After Tonight's Q2 Earnings?

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Cisco’s call has wrapped up. There wasn’t much movement in the aftermath.

As noted earlier, the bulk of changes occurred as Cisco discussed decreasing gross margins due to memory costs.

The company seems to be another casualty of mounting component expenses.

Interestingly, Cisco is hitting record highs, buoyed by AI demand.

Yet, it’s also suffering from heightened AI demand. The quickly rising need for AI is pushing up component costs, which in turn affects profits.

Overall, while the revenues are notable, Cisco may be more a victim of its own success than any external factors.


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Now, quoting Cisco’s remarks on the phone call that seem to show a decline in performance.

Simply put, the company is feeling the pinch from rising memory prices.

“Total non-GAAP gross margin fell 120 basis points year-over-year to 67.5%. Non-GAAP product gross margin was 66.4%, down 130 basis points mainly due to the adverse impact of rising memory costs, though increased productivity helped mitigate some of this. Non-GAAP services gross margin was 70.9%, down 70 basis points. We’re focused on enhancing profitability with a non-GAAP operating margin of 34.6%, which is above our guidance range. The non-GAAP tax rate for the quarter stood at 19%,” they said.

Memory stocks are thriving but have certainly harmed others in the sector.


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Cisco shares dropped 8% as financial results are being discussed.

Look for updates on our earnings announcements in this live blog. Keeping this page open will allow for real-time updates.

We’ll soon have the latest information on financial results.


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We’re still getting updates on Cisco’s earnings release, which is coming up next. If this live blog is keeping you interested, there are other avenues to get the latest from Wall Street.

Aside from the biggest news, be sure to check out our Daily Profit newsletter.

As trends gain speed in 2026, you might want to look at top AI stocks. We have a report on that as well, showcasing companies worth your attention. The growth rates this earnings season are looking significant.


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Cisco’s second quarter had some downsides: Operating cash flow decreased 19% year-on-year to $1.8 billion, a noticeable drop from robust sales and profit growth. While not reflected in the headline figures, this indicates potential working capital strains that could impact future margins.

The Security segment dropped 4% to $2 billion, contrasting sharply with a 21% surge in networking sales. This decline raises doubts about Cisco’s ability to safeguard its security business, which is vital in the evolving AI landscape, especially with competitors like Palo Alto and CrowdStrike gaining traction.

Meanwhile, a full-year sales forecast was raised to between $61.2 billion and $61.7 billion, and the outlook includes the effect of tariffs. This suggests that if tariff conditions worsen, estimates may need to be revised down.


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Here’s a glimpse of Cisco’s less-than-stellar numbers:

  • Full-year EPS is projected between $4.13 and $4.17, marginally above Wall Street’s estimate.
  • Next quarter’s EPS guidance is $1.02 to $1.04, exactly hitting the expectations.

Cisco highlighted some growth areas, including an 18% increase in product orders and $2.1 billion in AI infrastructure orders, although these may get overshadowed by other concerns.


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CSCO | Highlighted Earnings for Q2 2026:

  • Adjusted EPS: $1.04 (est. $1.02) [✅]; up 11% from last year
  • Revenue: $15.3 billion, reflecting a 10% annual increase
  • Adjusted gross profit: 67.5% (expected 66.0%) [✅]; up 20bps year-over-year
  • Net profit: $3.2 billion, a 31% increase from last year
  • Operating profit: $3.8 billion; up 21% from last year
  • Operating profit margin: 24.6%; a 230 bps increase year-over-year
  • Free cash flow: $1.8 billion; down 19% from last year
  • Effective tax rate: 12.9% (15.9% YoY)
  • Dividend: $0.42 per share; a 2% increase from the previous quarter

Q3 2026 Outlook:

  • Revenue: $15.4 billion to $15.6 billion (est. $15.5 billion) [✅]
    • This projection indicates strong demand across all customer segments and regions.
    • Anticipated growth from AI infrastructure orders and network refresh cycles.

Second Quarter Segment Results:

  • Americas revenue: $8.845 billion; up 8% YoY
  • EMEA revenue: $4.425 billion; a 15% increase from the previous year
  • APJC revenue: $2.08 billion; up 8% YoY
  • Product revenue: $11.642 billion; a 14% increase from last year
  • Service revenue: $3.77 billion; down 1% from last year

Other Key Metrics for Q2:

  • Adjusted operating profit: $5.3 billion; a 9% YoY increase
  • Adjusted operating expenses: $5 billion; up 6% from last year
  • R&D expenses: $2.355 billion; a 2% increase YoY
  • Cash and cash equivalents: $15.8 billion
  • Remaining performance obligations: $43.4 billion; a 5% increase YoY
  • Deferred revenue: $28.4 billion; up 2% YoY
  • Return of capital to shareholders: $3 billion in buybacks and dividends

CEO Comments:

  • Chuck Robbins: “Cisco’s strong second quarter and first half of fiscal 2026 highlights the strength of our portfolio and our vital role in connecting and protecting our customers in this rapidly changing landscape.”

CFO Comments:

  • Mark Patterson: “In the second quarter, we achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and profit, exceeding our highest guidance and positioning us for record sales in fiscal 2026.”


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AppLovin is facing challenges. Despite generally solid profits, advertising and software companies seem to be under pressure this earnings season.


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Next quarter’s guidance is $15.5 billion, higher than consensus predictions.

Gross profit margins may be somewhat lower than anticipated.

Yearly forecast has been adjusted to $61.2 billion to $61.7 billion, with EPS now between $4.13 and $4.17.

The stock is currently in decline, down 3.8%.


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Cisco’s stock has seen notable fluctuations, currently showing a slight 0.5% increase.

We’ll keep analyzing the earnings, although there wasn’t an immediate and significant market reaction following the announcement.


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Here’s the reported data:

  • EPS: $1.04
  • Revenue: $15.3 billion

Wall Street’s predictions were:

  • EPS: $1.02
  • Revenue: between $15.1 billion and $15.4 billion

Although Cisco generated another profitable quarter, the stock price dipped by 2% initially.


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Cisco might see some fluctuation post 4:00 p.m., but it’s anticipated around 4:05 p.m. ET. So, any movement right after the earnings call may be just fluctuations. Once the earnings data is made public, we will keep this live blog updated with fresh details.


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With just 20 minutes until Cisco’s Q2 2026 earnings report, market predictions are giving Cisco a 91% chance of surpassing Wall Street’s EPS target.

Cisco has a history of surpassing its past revenue figures, so there’s some justified optimism. However, the largest market reactions will hinge on whether Cisco adjusts its full-year outlook or updates its AI spending forecasts, potentially prompting Wall Street to revise its projections for 2027 and beyond.

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is set to release its Q2 2026 financials after the market closes this evening. This fiscal year wraps up in July, meaning the second quarter encompasses the period from October to December 2025. Having reached a peak yesterday, Cisco faces rising expectations regarding its AI infrastructure’s positioning and whether enterprise demand is on the upswing.

Wall Street’s Expectations

Analysts are predicting an EPS of $1.02 with revenue around $15.42 billion (though some estimates dip to $15.1 billion, just below the $15.4 billion mark).

This revenue translates to about a 5% increase year-over-year. To provide some context, the EPS for the first quarter was $1.00, indicating a sluggish sequential improvement.

Of greater significance is the full-year forecast. Management previously indicated projected sales of $59 billion to $60 billion for fiscal 2026, with EPS estimates of $4.00 to $4.06. Any adjustments to these ranges are likely to shift market sentiment significantly. Cisco has consistently bested expectations for eight quarters consecutively, showcasing an average surprise of 3.3%, which has boosted investor confidence but also heightened expectations.

The current sales forecast for fiscal 2026 is around $60.8 billion.

AI Infrastructure and Networking Demands

We’re keen to see how much revenue Cisco actually recognizes from its AI infrastructure bookings. Last quarter, they had more than $800 million in AI infrastructure orders and reported roughly $1 billion in AI revenue for the whole fiscal year. The critical question is whether this momentum is building or stalling.

While the recently launched Silicon One G300 chips may not significantly affect this quarter’s results, comments from management about the customer pipeline and design successes will be pivotal. Cisco claims this chip will cut AI job processing time by 28%, positioning itself to compete directly with Broadcom and Nvidia in the massive $600 billion AI infrastructure sector.

Trends in enterprise networking also deserve attention. Campus refresh cycles and data center upgrades are major influencing factors. The previous quarter marked the fourth consecutive rise in networking orders, driven by significant demand from web-scale clients and enterprise routing. If this trend continues, it will reinforce the theory that infrastructure upgrades are being expedited to accommodate AI workloads.

Security, Margins, and Guidance Tone

Improvement in security measures remains an important topic. Last quarter’s security orders grew by mid-single digits overall, though without U.S. federal contracts, they climbed to double digits. Management has set a long-term objective of achieving 15-17% growth in security and observability segments. Progress towards this goal will indicate if the acquisition of Splunk is proving beneficial.

The last quarter’s gross margin stood at 68.4%. Compression in this area raises concerns about product mixes and competitive pricing challenges. Operational leverage will be crucial as Cisco expands its AI product lineup.

Ultimately, the guidance tone will be essential. The stock might see a further increase if management expresses confidence in growth for the second half and raises the full-year outlook. However, if corporate spending is hedged or AI revenue projections are lowered despite a solid quarter, it may negatively affect the market reaction. Execution appears strong, but at a P/E valuation of 34, there’s minimal tolerance for any disappointing results.

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