Former President Donald Trump is viewed more favorably than President Biden among potential suburban and independent voters in 2024 battleground states, according to a new poll.
a signal investigation According to the poll, Trump had a 43% approval rating among suburbanites and a 40% approval rating among independents in 39 battleground congressional districts.
Only 29% of both voter groups approved of Biden's performance, while 60% of likely independent voters and 63% of likely suburban voters disapproved of the 81-year-old president.
President Trump, 77, had a 49% disapproval rating among both groups surveyed.
Overall, the poll showed Biden with a 37% approval rating, compared to the former president's 45% approval rating. Vice President Kamala Harris also scored similarly to her running mate, with 37% viewing her favorably and 57% viewing her unfavorably.
The candidates are close in all races surveyed, with 45% of voters supporting Trump, 44% supporting Biden, and 11% undecided.
Notably, neither Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s independent candidacy nor replacing Trump with another Republican would improve Biden's standing among voters.
If RFK Jr. entered the race, 41% of voters in battleground states would still support Trump, 37% would vote for Biden, and 11% would vote for Kennedy.
Republican candidates other than Trump are tied with Biden at 40% each, and the number of undecided voters increases to 21%. Nikki Haley, the No. 2 leading Republican candidate, did not appear in the poll.
The other Democratic presidential candidate other than Biden will also lose to Trump by 3 points.
“Without Trump on the ballot, turnout will likely be lower,” said Brock McCleary, vice president of polling at Signal. “In other words, if Mr. Trump doesn't vote, he means the Republican Party has more to lose than to gain.”
The poll also shows that Republicans have greater confidence in likely voters in battleground races, with several New York congressional districts flipped by rookie Republicans in 2022. It is more likely that it will remain red.
A typical Republican candidate has a two-point advantage over Democrats among all voters in battleground districts, a one-point advantage among suburban voters, and a 10-point advantage among independent voters.
A majority of voters trust Republicans (56%) more than Democrats (26%) when it comes to border security, and their double-digit lead holds among independents, Hispanic voters, and suburban voters.
Also, more people (46%) believe that Republicans can do a better job of tackling crime and inflation than Democrats (31%) (45% vs. 36%).
Nearly three in 10 (29%) voters in battleground states said inflation would be their top issue in the 2024 election.
But the battleground state is at odds with Republicans on the issue of abortion, with nearly half (49%) viewing Republican candidates as more extreme than Democrats.
More than six in 10 (63%) want abortion legalized, and 48% think the federal government should liberalize restrictions on abortion procedures.
The swing district survey also found that the Democratic coalition is divided, with 22% of voters with incomes under $75,000 saying the party should focus on reducing inflation, and 23% saying they should focus on reducing inflation. It was also found that the government believes that the threat of
By contrast, Republicans are more united, with 41% saying border security is a top priority. Nine out of ten voters have a favorable opinion of the current front-runner.
The Signal poll surveyed 1,500 general election voters in 39 battleground states from January 16 to 18, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.45 percentage points.
