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Trump Leads Biden Nationally by 4 Points

A CNN poll on Thursday found former President Donald Trump with a 4-point lead over President Joe Biden nationally, underscoring Trump’s momentum heading into the 2024 election.

The poll is important because Trump’s 4-point lead has a margin of error of 3.8 percentage points.

  • Trump: 49%
  • Biden: 45%
Voting numbers are the same as CNN vote During December. Trump has a high percentage of young voters and black voters. Republicans are also confident that Trump will defeat Biden in November.

“[T]”The demographics of the race appear to be stable, with large educational disparities among the most notable demographic gaps, and smaller differences by age and race than in other recent presidential elections,” CNN said. report:

Support for Biden among traditionally Democratic-leaning blocs, such as young voters and people of color, has not increased since the fall. Voters under 35 remain almost evenly split, with 49% supporting Biden and 46% supporting Trump, while voters of color are backing Biden, with 57% favoring Biden. 35% is Trump.

Republicans are confident in Trump’s chances of winning a second term as president: 88% of Republican voters say Biden has a realistic chance of winning the presidency if he is the nominee. However, only 29% think Biden has a realistic chance of winning. Seven in 10 Republican voters (72%) say the Republican Party has a better chance of winning the White House with Trump in the lead than anyone else, and 57% say they think Trump has a better chance of winning the White House again. They answered that they would become more enthusiastic. And most Republican voters view President Trump as generally mainstream (62%) rather than too extreme (37%).

poll sampled 1,212 adults from January 25th to 30th, 2024.

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