Almost three-quarters of Americans, 74%, believe former President Trump will refuse to concede if he loses the 2024 election, a significant increase from a similar poll in 2020.
of CNN poll The report, released Monday, shows that many voters expect election denial rhetoric to continue if Trump loses again in November.
Just over half of respondents correctly predicted that Trump would not concede even if he lost the 2020 election, compared to about 55% in August 2020 and 58% in October 2020. .
He did refuse to accept the election results, and his supporters stormed the Capitol on January 6, 2021, after months of rhetoric that the results were stolen or fraudulent.
Only about a quarter (23%) of respondents said President Biden would not concede if he loses in November. This number is slightly lower than the 2020 poll on Biden and consistent with the 2016 poll on then-Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.
Overall, an overwhelming majority of survey respondents (about 86%) said that a candidate who loses a presidential election has an obligation to concede. This is the same number from the 2020 survey, but a slight increase from the 2016 survey.
The former president is already sowing the seeds of 2020 election denial rhetoric in the lead-up to the 2024 election. President Trump has repeatedly warned that Democrats could rig the general election against him, repeating claims of 2020 election fraud that his opponents called “a big lie.”
President Trump faces two criminal cases related to election denial and attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 election, a state criminal case in Georgia and a federal criminal case based in Washington.
The Supreme Court ruled earlier this month that Trump’s involvement in the Jan. 6 U.S. Capitol riot violated the Constitution and disqualified him from being president. A ruling will also be made on whether they can participate in voting in the general election.
CNN’s poll, conducted in late January among about 1,200 people, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
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