Polls show Gov. Larry Hogan (R-Md.) holding a double-digit lead over Maryland’s two Democratic U.S. Senate candidates in hypothetical matchups in the general election.
of washington post-University of Maryland Poll, published On Wednesday, the moderate Republican was found to have an overwhelming lead over both Rep. David Trone (D-Md.) and Prince George’s County Commissioner Angela Alsobrooks (D) in separate matchups.
Hogan’s strong performance since announcing his run for the Senate at the last minute in February will have a significant impact on the national battle for the next Senate majority. Even before Mr. Hogan entered the race, the national map was already favorable to Republicans, and Democrats now must mount a defense in a state where they have won every Senate race since 1986.
In the race against Tron, the leading Democratic candidate who founded Total Wine and More, Hogan received 49% of respondents, closing in on a majority. Tron has a 12-point lead over Hogan’s 37%, while the remaining 14% of respondents were either unsure or skipped the question.
📊 Maryland Senate Poll: WP/UMD
Hogan 49%
Tron 37%• Democratic Party: Tron +21 (33-54)
• Indies: Hogan +27 (54-27)
• Moderate: Hogan +15 (52-37)
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Hogan 50%
Alsobrooks 36%• Democrat: Albrooks +20 (34-54)
• Indies: Hogan +30 (55-25)
• Moderate: Hogan +22 (+22)
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Hogan… pic.twitter.com/fdQJ8YWJgU— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) March 20, 2024
Independents and third-party voters break Hogan holds a 2-to-1 lead with 54% of the population, beating Throne’s 27%. Hogan also leads the women’s race, garnering the support of a whopping 36 percent of black respondents in this matchup.
Congressman David Trone (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
His overall lead widens even further when Tron and Alsobrooks take turns. In this scenario, Mr. Hogan would record 50% support for him among respondents overall, with 36% supporting the county executive. 15% of respondents were unsure or did not respond.
Among independents and third-party voters, Mr. Hogan leads Mr. Alsobrooks by a wide margin, 55% to 25%. He has a three-point lead among female voters and would receive 31% of black support in this scenario.
Prince George’s County Executive Angela Allbrooks (Marvin Joseph/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Tron and Alsobrooks’ likability pales in comparison to Hogan. The former governor received the highest evaluation of the three, 41 points higher than the average, with 64% saying they had a favorable impression of the governor and 23% saying they had an unfavorable impression of him. Only 13% of people had an opinion on Hogan or skipped the question.
Roughly the same number of respondents (21%) have an unfavorable view of Tron, but this falls behind Hogan’s 64% of voters who have a positive view of him. Only 33 percent of people think TRON is favorable, and 46 percent have no opinion or choose not to respond.
Albrooks is even less well-known than Tron. Nearly 6 in 10 of her respondents either had no opinion about her or skipped her question. Of those who had an opinion of her, 26% had a positive perception of her and 15% had a negative perception.
The poll also found that Tron led Albrooks in the Democratic primary, 34% to 27%, with 39% of registered Democrats in the race.
The survey was conducted March 5-12, 2024 among 1,004 registered voters in Maryland. The margin of error for the entire sample is ± 3.3 percentage points and ± 4.5 percentage points for the Democratic main portion of the poll.
