The latest polls show the Conservatives are heading for their worst possible election result, with fewer than 100 seats.
A seat-by-seat analysis showed that the Conservatives had 98 constituencies and Labour’s 468, giving Sir Keir Starmer a majority of 286 seats, The Sunday Times reported.
The poll of 15,000 people, carried out by research organization Survation on behalf of Best for Britain, showed Labor with 45% of the vote, leading the Conservatives by 19 points.
Research shows Rishi Sunak’s party is on track to win 98 seats, with no seats in Scotland or Wales. It also suggests the Prime Minister is at risk of losing the new seat of Richmond and Northallerton in North Yorkshire, his constituency, by less than 2.5 points to Labor.
The analysis predicts that Reform UK will come in second place with seven seats, giving it an overall vote share of 8.5%, behind the Liberal Democrats’ 10.4%.
The poll also predicts the Scottish National Party will win 41 seats, the Liberal Democrats 22 and Plaid Cymru two.
Naomi Smith, the UK’s chief executive, said: “Polls show a majority of voters are turning their backs on the Conservative Party, so it’s clear this will be a transformative election.”
In 2019, the Conservatives held 365 seats, Labor 203, the SNP 48, the Lib Dems 11 and Plaid 4.
The findings show that despite declining membership, the party’s overall financial position is The announcement came after labor officials said the economy remained strong.
Labor has lost more than 23,000 members in the past two months following controversy over Gaza policy and a U-turn on green investment, according to figures released to the National Executive Committee (NEC).
The party’s general secretary, David Evans, revealed that the number of members had plummeted from 390,000 in January to 366,604 in the latest count, with more than 11,700 of them in arrears. Union membership peaked at the end of 2019, at more than 532,000 people.
NEC member Luke Aykehurst said: “Membership remains at historically high levels. At the end of Labour’s last term it had just 150,000 members. [in 2010],” He said.
“The current state of opinion polling suggests that there is no correlation between party membership and electoral popularity.”
