The latest polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Biden in all seven key battleground states and leading independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in most states. It’s making a big difference.
According to the paper, Mr. Trump, 77, had the largest margins over Mr. Biden, 81, in North Carolina (47-42%), Arizona (48-44%) and Georgia (47-44%). is attached. Emerson College Poll It was released on Tuesday.
The 45th president leads by 45% to 44% in Michigan and Nevada, and by 47% to 45% in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
In-person voting polls in each state show the undecided rate to be between 8% and 11%, meaning candidates from each party could have a large lead over voters by November.
Add in third-party candidates, and the president will suffer even more than Trump. In Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, RFK Jr. stole even more votes from Biden, widening Trump’s lead over Biden.
In Arizona, Mr. Kennedy had 9%, and with the addition of Cornel West and Green Party member Jill Stein (combined 2%), Mr. Biden had 40% and Mr. Trump had 44%. Biden’s approval rating is 6% in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while West and Stein’s approval ratings are in the single digits, with Biden at 37% to 46% and 41% to 45%, respectively. , 40-45% will suffer.
In Nevada, Mr. Kennedy won 8%, “other” third-party candidates won 3%, and Mr. Biden’s race was 37% to 42%. In Georgia and Michigan, Mr. RFK Jr. received 5% of the vote, and the “other” candidate came in 5th place with 2%, and Mr. Biden’s vote percentage was 39-45% and 42-43%. ing.
But the Democrat-turned-independent still must appear on the ballot in all 50 states. The Kennedy campaign has so far said it has enough signatures to appear on the ballot in Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada, among the states Emerson has investigated.
The poll, which has a confidence interval of 3%, was conducted from April 25th to 29th using mobile and landline telephones in addition to an online panel provided by CINT. The sample size for each state was 1,000 registered voters.
“The landscape of presidential elections in swing states has remained relatively consistent since Emerson and The Hill last began tracking presidential elections in swing states.” November” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “The percentage of undecided voters declined and Biden gained an edge in Georgia and Nevada, narrowing the gap, but Trump maintained a slight advantage over Biden in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.”
According to the survey, the Republican lead in the presidential race has not transferred to the Senate race.
In Arizona, 45% of voters surveyed support Democrat Ruben Gallego to replace retiring Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, while Republican Kari Lake has an approval rating of 43%, undecided. The answer was 12%. Lake has increased his profit margin by 4% since February, while Gallego has decreased his 1%.
According to a poll, 46% of voters in Pennsylvania’s Senate race support incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey, 42% support Republican Dave McCormick, and 12% are undecided. .
Democrats also have leads in Senate races in Wisconsin, Michigan and North Carolina. In the Badger State, 46% of voters said they supported incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin, 43% supported Republican Eric Hovde, and 11% were undecided.
In Michigan, 42% said they would vote for Democrat Elissa Slotkin, 40% said they would vote for Republican Mike Rogers, and 19% were undecided.
In North Carolina, Democratic incumbent Jacky Rosen has a 45-37% lead over Republican Sam Brown, with 18% undecided. In the matchup between Rosen and Republican Jeff Gunter, Rosen has a 47-33% chance of winning, with 21% undecided.
