Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden by six points in the battleground state of Wisconsin, according to an AARP/Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research poll.
In opinion polls, carried out A poll released Tuesday following Biden’s dismal debate performance in late June found that 44 percent of voters surveyed in Wisconsin support Trump in a five-way race, while 38 percent support Biden.
📊 Wisconsin Poll: AARP’s Fabrizio Ward (Republican) and Impact Research (Democrat)
Trump: 50% (+5)
Biden: 45%Trump: 44% (+6)
Biden: 38%
RFK Jr.: 9%
Stein: 3%
Oliver: 1%#138 (1.7/3.0) | 600 Level | 6/28-7/2https://t.co/4rcE3lwy4x pic.twitter.com/pTsq8K4ffD
— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) July 9, 2024
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. came in third with 9 percent support, followed by Jill Stein of the Green Party with 3 percent and Chase Oliver of the Libertarian Party with 1 percent. Five percent of respondents were undecided.
Trump leads Biden among independents, 36% to 31%, but 24% of this group are split on their support for a third-party candidate.
Furthermore, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden in terms of support within his party. 93% of Republican supporters support Trump. Conversely, 86% of Democratic supporters support Biden, making the difference in support rates between the two candidates within their bases clear. 2% of Democratic supporters said they would vote for Trump, while 1% of Republican supporters said they would vote for Biden.
Trump maintains a large advantage over the president in a two-way matchup. In this scenario, the 45th president would win 50% of respondents, five points ahead of Biden’s 45%. Trump’s lead among independents shrinks slightly, to a net four points. Trump maintains a 97-point advantage among Republican voters, up from 92% in the five-way matchup. Meanwhile, Biden’s lead among Democrats has grown to a net 91 points, up from 84% with the more popular candidate.
The poll also gauges the heat in the Badger State Senate race, in which Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) is facing off against Republican businessman Eric Hovde. Baldwin has 50% support to Hovde’s 45%, and Baldwin holds a 13-point lead among independents.
The survey was commissioned by AARP and conducted by Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research from June 28 to July 2, 2024. The survey included a sample of 600 voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
