Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in the key battleground state of North Carolina, according to a new poll from the East Carolina University Survey Research Center.
The survey found that: Participated The 2024 election, running from Aug. 26 to Aug. 28, shows Trump beating Harris by just one percentage point in key battleground states, 48 percent to 47 percent.
According to this particular survey, Harris is leading among independents, garnering 47 percent support to Trump's 37 percent.
But when it comes to issues that matter to Americans, Trump seems to be in his element. Thirty percent of North Carolina voters say inflation or cost of living is “the most important issue that will determine my vote in the next election.” It's notable that Harris, in her only interview as a Democratic presidential candidate, characterized Biden's economics as a “good job.” Harris also claimed he didn't tackle inflation because the economy needed to “recover,” another falsehood, and he didn't need to bail out the economy when he took office.
RELATED — Harris: We haven't delivered on promised inflation measures because we “had to recover”; we've “done a good job”
Another 22 percent chose the economy as their top issue, followed by 14 percent who chose abortion, 13 percent who chose border security, 4 percent who chose affordable health care, 3 percent who chose climate change, and 3 percent who chose violent crime and public safety.
The survey also found that 52 percent of respondents disapproved of President Joe Biden's job performance, the most of any Democrat — another reality that could be a blow to Harris, who will be tasked with leading Biden's agenda.
Research Details:
Overall, 38% of North Carolina's registered voters say they are “very confident” that the 2024 election results will accurately reflect how they voted, while another 40% say they are “somewhat confident,” and nearly one in five (19%) say they are “not confident” (4% are unsure). Voters are divided along party lines on this question, with 67% of Democrats saying they are “very confident” in the outcome, while only 9% of Republicans say the same. Nearly one-third of Republicans (32%) say they are “not confident” about the vote count, while only 1% of Democrats say they are not confident.
The survey was conducted among 920 North Carolina voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
While Trump's lead in this particular survey is small, it is consistent with an overall trend that Trump, not Harris, sees the advantage in the Tar Heel State. For example, an OnPoint/Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Strategies poll released in late August showed Trump leading Harris by 4 percentage points, with Trump's approval rating at 50 percent and Harris's at 46 percent.
