With just over three weeks left until Election Day, three new national polls in the White House race show that the past few months have passed since former President Donald Trump replaced President Biden as the top Democrat in 2024. suggests that Vice President Kamala Harris is trying to erase the gains she has made. ticket.
Polls show the race between the two major parties' presidential candidates is within the margin of error, with Trump enjoying some late-inning momentum.
Among voters questioned in the ABC News/Ipsos poll, Harris leads Trump 50% to 48%, down from the vice president's 6-point lead last month.
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Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are the 2024 Republican and Democratic presidential candidates. (Fox News)
According to an NBC News poll of registered voters nationwide, the vice president and the former president had a deadlocked approval rating at 48%. That's a big change from a month ago, when Harris enjoyed a five-point advantage.
Additionally, a CBS News/YouGov survey of likely voters showed that Harris held a 3-point lead over Trump, down slightly from her 4-point lead a month ago. It was done.
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Following President Biden's disastrous debate against Trump in late June, former President Biden began to open up a single-digit lead over the incumbent in the White House.
However, with Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race and the rapid consolidation of the Democratic Party around the vice president, the dynamics of the campaign have completely changed.
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event at East Carolina University on Sunday, October 13, 2024 in Greenville, North Carolina. (AP Photo/David Iasel)
Fueled by a wave of energy and excitement, Ms. Harris has soared in fundraising and favorability, overtaking Mr. Trump in presidential polls. This trend continued through the Democratic Party convention in late August and the first and perhaps only debate between the two standard-bearers in early September.
But as the summer moved into fall, Harris' favorability ratings appeared to have waned, with Republicans returning to Trump and widening the already wide gender gap in support for the two candidates.
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Neil Newhouse, a longtime Republican pollster, told Fox News, “Harris' campaign has declined as her image has deteriorated and the perception of her being a 'second Biden administration' remains strong. It seems like we're at a standstill.”
Newhouse, a veteran of numerous Republican presidential campaigns, claimed that Harris was “on the brink of wrenching defeat from the jaws of victory.”
Former Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gestures as he walks on stage at a campaign rally in Coachella, California, on October 12, 2024. (Photo courtesy of Mario Tama/Getty Images)
National polls can help us understand the state of the race, but presidential elections are not based on the popular vote of the nation, but rather battles over states and their electors.
Biden's victory over Trump in 2020 was decided by a narrow margin, and the latest polls in seven key battleground states that are likely to determine who wins the 2024 election are also within the margin of error. It shows that it is a competition.
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A leading nonpartisan pollster said the jury was still out on whether Trump was gaining momentum.
“We need more data points to paint a picture of momentum in the polls,” David Paleologos, director of the Center for Political Research at Suffolk University, told Fox News.
“This could be momentum, or it could be a natural narrowing of inequality in a highly polarized country,” said Paleologos, who conducts polling for USA Today and Suffolk University.
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