Exit polls show how Gen Z has shifted to the right in the 2024 presidential election toward Donald Trump, now the president-elect.
Young voters still support Democrats, but Trump made significant gains in the demographic from 2020 to 2024, according to Signal polling. Found.
According to the survey, Gen Z (those born between 1997 and 2012) shifted to the right by 24 points from supporting Joe Biden in 2020 and by 16 points to supporting Kamala Harris in 2024.
The study found that Gen Z's rightward shift was most pronounced among men under 30, who voted for Trump by a 10-point margin over Harris.
The survey also found that Generation X is the “strongest right-leaning group.” This demographic, which includes people born between 1965 and 1980, was R+1 in 2020 but moved to R+13 in 2024 due to President Trump.
“We found that this was indeed a redistricting election, driven by changes in key generational and racial groups,” Signal wrote about the results. “The Republican Party is increasingly multiracial and working class, with strong support among married people. The Democratic Party is increasingly becoming a coalition of voters with a college degree or above.”
Other post-election polls found that 40% of women under 30 voted for Trump. According to CNN exit polls, Harris had an 8-point lead among female voters. But that number was almost half of what President Joe Biden (Democrat) got in 2020.
Harris tried to win votes by appearing on TV shows. please call her daddy Podcasts and endorsements from celebrities like Taylor Swift and Beyoncé. However, her efforts were not enough. Her campaign focused on abortion, arguing that a Trump presidency would jeopardize their so-called “reproductive rights.”
“I think there were high expectations about how women would vote in this election,” Sabrina Karim, a professor at Cornell University, told AFP.
“However, it is important to always remember that women are not a monolithic group,” she said, adding that “women's concerns are multifaceted.”
As for what specifically drew young voters to the Trump vs. Vance race this time, Trump chose Millennial Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) as his running mate. , there has been much speculation about the campaign's adoption of alternative media. , has appeared on popular podcasts such as Theo Fung and of course Joe Rogan, attracting younger audiences.
Several young voters agreed to be interviewed. new york timesrevealed why he decided to take the leap for Trump.
McClain, 25, said she was “shocked” at herself and voted for Trump. She, like others, pointed to Trump's choice of J.D. Vance.
“I was very impressed with the way J.D. Vance carried himself and how normal he seemed,” she said, also mentioning the left's war on women and naming a Trump campaign ad that stuck with her. .
“I think I've become radicalized on the issue of men's and women's sports. “Kamala represents them,” the ad said. Trump represents you,' was very powerful,” she said, adding, “Trump is crazy, but to me he somehow represented normalcy.” .
Another young voter, a 22-year-old from New York named Jack, said Trump's interview with Logan was “huge” for him.
“Mr. Trump enthusiastically said yes to a frank and candid three-hour conversation with former Bernie brother Joe Rogan.” “I think it gives us a pretty good idea of which candidates are genuine and which candidates are not.”
Abigail, who voted for President Trump, also expressed disgust at the media's lies, noting that the media is “very corrupt in the cause against Trump.”
Lillian, a 27-year-old Virginia woman, said President Joe Biden's calling Trump supporters trash “put the nail in the coffin” for her, adding, “Then the White House will officially change the record. “I moved,” he said.
“That really bothered me,” she said. “When I heard that, I really wanted to rally against them.”
Signal's exit poll was conducted on November 5, 2024 among 9,000 general election voters. The error is ±0.99 percentage points.
Hannah Knudsen contributed to this report.
