Within a week of the 2024 presidential election, the far left New York Times Published Voting-restrained works are fierce RealClearPolitics (RCP).
“Why do you think Trump is running away in the race?” Heading.
As we know, Trump did He runs away in the 2024 race. He won the election college. He won the popularity vote. He wiped out all seven swing states. He moved the country's vast stripes into a Republican column. His interests with a small number of voters were incredible.
However, less than a week after the election, The era Not only were they not prepared to face the fact that Trump might win reelection, but reelection also rejects the administration media in a way that proves they no longer matter.
What shall we do?
What shall we do?
Use the now-disgrace and shuttered 538 as the source of that discord. The era I scoffed at many latest polls that showed Trump was being led.
“Voting torrents began arriving just a few weeks ago. The era. These polls “supported among hundreds of people showing the heat of death in the presidential election.”
Ah, but that “poll torrent” has been revealed The era“It was commissioned by the Righteous Group, which has a vested interest in promoting Republican strength.”
After that, without evidence, The era These pollers accused him of “focusing on raising Republican enthusiasm before the election,” and criticised that “the only way Trump could lose to Vice President Kamala Harris is if the election is integrated, then it is integrated.”
Get the load of this beauty…
“The increase has significantly reduced the amount of nonpartisan polls, including those commissioned by major press agencies, but they still make up a large portion of the polls released.”
that's why The era When 20 years of evidence proved to be the exact opposite, he laughed and argued that “polls commissioned by major press” were nonpartisan. Washington PostAnyone?
next The era As if that was an absolute fact, I wrote the following that allows it to attack RCP…
“Even so, the races are rarely close,” he wrote. The erahowever, it “has not stopped these polls from shaping the broader narrative in the final stretch of the race. In particular, the average of the popular aggregation site RealClearPolitics is widely cited on social media.”
And now we come to the RCP's unforgiving sin…
“Unlike its competitors, RealClearPolitics doesn't rule out low-quality polls,” and “doesn't weight the average.” This is another way to say it, unlike the 538 (Elections got I'm wrong And it's just closed to disgrace, as it lost so much money and reliability), the RCP doesn't put its thumb on scale. List the polls, provide the average, and that's it.
As you can see, The era, do not have Talking your numbers is a sin.
Especially in hindsight, it becomes even more interesting:
The RCP “No Tossups” map “indicates that Trump is currently gaining all swing states.” The era Whimpering. “Influential accounts share screenshots of “RCP Maps.” This is paired with an image of the Polymet Betting average, which shows that Trump is currently 65% likely to win. ”
One Democratic strategist said The era The goal here was to “change poll averages and deflate Democrat enthusiasm.”
At the time, this article was a joke. It is a real howler who knows what we know now.
The RCP made it right in 2024…or as close to the right as anyone can… Again.
I tracked RCP for 25 years for two reasons. 1) Don't ruin numbers, 2) Don't ruin numbers.
But I'm here four months later New York Times The hit pieces run and the truth arises. All of these “correct polls” were correct. And the RCP was right because they didn't adjust the numbers haughtyly. However, these nonpartisan “polls commissioned by major press agencies” were incorrect. And they arrogantly fudged the numbers, so 538 was trapped in disgrace.
I also know that all the premises that the hits were based on were complete lies.
New York Times If they are tolerant of being deceived like this, then there are grossly stupid readers.
Meanwhile, the RCP leader is satisfied.
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