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The Memo: Trump slows down, slightly, on participating in Israel’s attack on Iran

The Memo: Trump pumps brakes, lightly, on joining Israel's assault on Iran

President Trump is taking a cautious approach regarding U.S. involvement in Israel’s actions against Iran, at least for the moment. According to a statement from White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Trump indicated he will decide on the matter within the next two weeks.

Leavitt also noted that there may be a “substantial opportunity for negotiations” with Iran soon. However, given the unpredictable nature of both Trump’s decisions and the volatile situation in the Middle East, this pause could change quickly.

On Friday, Trump mentioned that the two-week timeframe was the “maximum” he would allow himself before making a decision. This left things a bit unclear yet provided him with some flexibility.

Interestingly, his current mixed signals reflect a shift back to his “America-first” philosophy. Earlier this week, he seemed ready to send troops to support Israeli actions, even boasting on social media about controlling Iranian airspace and demanding Iran’s “unconditional surrender.” Yet now, his stance appears more measured.

Domestically, Trump has often expressed skepticism about foreign military involvement. During his initial presidential campaign a decade ago, he criticized George W. Bush’s Iraq War, which was quite unusual for a Republican. This skepticism has resurfaced recently, especially considering backlash from key political figures.

Notably, Tucker Carlson and others have voiced concerns about the risks of entering a new conflict in the Middle East. Public sentiment also seems to reflect a reluctance to engage; a Washington Post poll indicated that 45% are against U.S. airstrikes in Iran, while only 25% support them.

Given these dynamics, it’s not surprising that Trump is opting for a strategy of delay. Some media have pointed out that his “two weeks” timeline is reminiscent of past vague commitments he made, like his promise to unveil a healthcare plan and clarify his views on the war in Ukraine.

Amid pressures to act against Iran—which some view as a unique chance to impede its uranium enrichment—there are opinions suggesting that stronger military action could have been taken earlier, particularly against Iranian proxies like Hezbollah and Hamas.

The Trump administration includes many staunch supporters of Israel. For instance, Ambassador Mike Huckabee has historically backed Israel’s actions regarding the West Bank, which are deemed illegal under various international laws. Huckabee recently suggested that Trump might be fulfilling a divine purpose regarding Israel.

Another layer to Trump’s approach is his disagreement with National Intelligence Director Tarsi Gabbard about Iran’s intentions regarding nuclear weapons. Gabbard’s views contradict the justification for attacking Iran, and during a recent press conference, Trump questioned the validity of claims that Iran was developing nuclear arms, remarking that the intelligence community has seen no evidence.

When a reporter referenced Gabbard, Trump dismissed her view as incorrect. Gabbard, known for her skepticism toward U.S. interventionism, presents a contrasting perspective to Trump’s outlook.

Despite the uncertainty, Trump appears to be hopeful about possible negotiations with Iran, with ambassador Steve Witkov engaged in ongoing discussions. Should Iran make significant concessions, Trump could leverage this as a success for his diplomatic approach.

However, the potential U.S.-Iran deal might not resonate well with Israel’s government led by Benjamin Netanyahu, who may have initiated his offensive against Iran partly out of concerns about such negotiations.

For now, Trump seems to be buying time, but risks loom in every direction.

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