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Canada’s Conservatives Win Shock Election Victory in Grim Omen for Trudeau

Canadian Conservative candidate Don Stewart won a close election in the Toronto-St. Paul constituency on Monday, capturing a seat that has been held by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party for the past three decades.

“Before Monday’s vote, a Conservative candidate had not been competitive in Toronto-St. Paul since the 1980s. The party had not won a seat in metropolitan Toronto since the 2011 federal election,” CBC News reported. surprised.

CBC called the race “tight and drawn out until the very end” and reported that Stewart’s opponent, Liberal Leslie Church, led for about six of the seven hours of vote counting. Stewart surged ahead when the final votes were counted, with 42.1 percent to Church’s 40.5 percent. Stewart won by 590 votes. The Liberals have won the district by more than 20 points in each of the last nine elections.

“The Liberal party’s poor performance among these bases could prompt reflection from Trudeau, whose approval ratings have plummeted as inflation, a cost-of-living crisis, soaring house prices and surging immigration numbers frustrate voters,” the CBC suggested.

of Canadian Press By comparison Church had a somber evening after Canada lost the Stanley Cup on Monday night, an election upset that was already very painful for the Liberal Party. Canadian Press No matter who you ask, I’m not going to put lemon juice on a paper cut. Won the Stanley Cup From Canada.

The only consolation for the Liberals is that independents may have siphoned off enough votes to enable a shock victory for first-time candidate Stewart, who got 10.9% of the vote over Amrit Palhar of the NDP and 2.9% over Christian Kallis of the Green Party.

“This election was seen as a must-win for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, but this loss is a major blow and could spark calls for Trudeau to resign after 11 years as Liberal leader.” Canadian Press Warned.

Stewart Himself Said The election was “a chance to send a message to Justin Trudeau.”

Monday’s election was a “by-election,” or special election, with Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett Resigned During December.

Mr Bennett, a 73-year-old retired doctor who was first elected to the House of Commons in 1997, decided it was time to finish his term in Parliament, but not for long as Mr Trudeau left government. name She stepped down as ambassador to Denmark in January. She chose to resign from parliament immediately rather than wait for the next regular elections in 2025.

Bennett won nearly every parliamentary election with more than half the vote, a key reason why Toronto-St. Paul is considered a “safe seat” for the Liberals. The Liberals quickly chose to replace Bennett with Church, a veteran staffer who last served as chief of staff to Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland.

Conservative Party We went together Stewart, who has lived in the St. Paul area for eight years, is the former director of market surveillance for the Investment Regulatory Organization of Canada. He is also a military reservist and treasurer of a non-profit organization that supports veterans. He has been active in Conservative politics for many years but has never run for public office.

CTV News report Conservative leaders were as surprised as their Liberal counterparts by Stewart’s shock victory, with both sides agreeing that the result was a devastating blow to Trudeau and a major boost for Conservative Leader Pierre Poiriévre.

Most political analysts went into the election assuming Church would win, but warned that even if Church won by less than five points, it would be a sign that Poirievre could beat Trudeau in the next federal election.

David Collett, CEO of analytics firm Abacus Data, said: Said There was widespread speculation before the election that Trudeau should consider giving up if Church won by fewer than 10 points. Conservative analysts said their internal polls showed Stewart losing by five points, enough to send a clear message to Trudeau. Few in the media or political circles predicted that Stewart would actually win. win.

CTV spoke to Liberal members who complained that the deeply unpopular Prime Minister Trudeau was an anchor around Church’s neck, and CTV commentators also blasted Trudeau for holding Church back.

“I feel sorry for Leslie. She’s put everything into this, uprooted her life, campaigned endlessly. It’s not really a loss for her, but it’s still tough,” sighed CTV analyst Scott Reid.

The Liberal Party went all out to save Church, sending in almost every party heavyweight except Trudeau, including Freeland, Church’s former boss.

Many Liberal sources say they are not yet ready to call for Trudeau to step down, but their position could change if the Conservatives perform well in the next few by-elections.

Melissa Lanzmann, Mr Poirievre’s deputy leader, seemed confident on Monday that the party’s future was bright.

of National Post was suggested In addition to public dissatisfaction with Trudeau, another factor in the Toronto-St. Paul constituency could be Jewish voters, who make up about 10 per cent of the constituency.

Canada’s Liberal Party, like left-wing parties in the United States and Europe, maintained an awkward silence during the radical pro-Hamas demonstrations, while Stewart loudly declared that “abhorrent acts of anti-Semitism” “must be unequivocally condemned by leaders at all levels of government.” While Stewart showed up to large pro-Israel rallies, the Liberals found reasons to be elsewhere.

Mr Stewart also pledged to support Mr Poirievre as the next prime minister and promised to push through his legislative agenda. Mr Stewart said his campaign “reflects what Mr Poirievre has said”.

“We want to eliminate taxes, build housing, fix the budget and eliminate crime, and I think I can be a part of that in the Legislature,” Stewart said.

Poiriervre campaigned alongside Stewart and praised him as a “common-sense Conservative” who understands that Canadians are “fed up with a government that taxes our food, punishes work, doubles the cost of housing and inflicts crime and chaos in our communities.”

In progress National Post On Tuesday, columnist Tasha Keilidin I saluted. Stewart called Trudeau a “giant killer” and predicted there would be increasing pressure for him to step down before the next election.

Keiriddine said Trudeau’s departure would be the worst thing that could happen to the Conservatives because while their “consistent messaging on the economy” and the “populist wave sweeping the globe” may be a driving force behind them, public loathing for Trudeau is the jet fuel in their engines.

Keiriddine, who campaigned for Church in the Toronto-St. Paul constituency, added that he predicted Chrystia Freeland would not succeed Trudeau, coming across as ineffectual and desperate.

“Any current Liberal aide would be quickly denounced by the Conservatives as ‘Trudeau 2.0,'” she noted.