CNN polling data expert Harry Enten is warning Democrats that Hispanic voters are increasingly abandoning President Joe Biden.
Enten spoke with CNN anchor Anderson Cooper on Wednesday and detailed some of the latest polling data that reassures Republicans and Donald Trump while worrying Biden and Democrats.
“This is one of those trend lines that I think really tells a story,” Enten began. “If you asked voters, ‘Who do you think will do a better job of border security and immigration?’ they would say, ‘What would happen? Back in 2020, it was basically a neck and neck tie, right? Joe Biden. had a slight advantage, but not an overwhelming one.”
“Look at where we’re at right now in a Marquette University Law School poll released last month. Look at the advantage Donald Trump has on immigration and border security. It’s nearly 30 points. ” he explained. “This is a tremendous change that’s happening right now, and it’s no wonder Donald Trump is running on immigration.”
In traditional politics, Enten said some Hispanic voters would be turned off by President Trump’s strong statements on immigration.
But that’s “not the case” right now, he explained, because Hispanic voters trust President Trump to address the border crisis.
“When you ask Hispanic voters who they trust more when it comes to border security and immigration, they overwhelmingly trust Donald Trump by an overwhelming margin. Look, 49% to 24%. ” Enten said.
Hispanic voters overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020, according to Enten. But Biden’s lead of more than 20 points disappeared due to the border crisis.
“If you look at the current polls, who did the average Hispanic voter choose in the voting test? Biden, by about 2 points,” Enten explained. “Essentially, this would be the smallest margin for a Democratic candidate among Hispanic voters since we started polling.”
As immigration becomes a top issue in the election, voters not only trust Trump to handle the border crisis, but Biden’s support is actually declining among nonwhite voters overall.
In fact, Democrats’ advantage among Hispanic, Asian, and black voters is at its lowest since 1960. According to the Financial Times.
There are many reasons for this ongoing realignment of the electorate. From FT:
Part of this is due to fading memories and weakening bonds. Black Americans who lived during the civil rights movement still support the party at very high levels, but younger generations are unsettled. The correlation between income and voter choice in American politics may also be weakening. The Republican Party’s image as a party of wealthy country-club elites is fading and it is opening up to working and middle-class voters of all ethnicities.
Even more ominous for Democrats is a dynamic that is less widely understood. Many nonwhite voters in the United States have long held far more conservative views than their voting patterns suggest. The demographic shift we are seeing today is not so much natural Democrats becoming disillusioned as natural Republicans realizing they have been voting for the wrong party.
John Byrne Murdoch, the FT’s chief data reporter, wrote that the study found that “a less racist America is one where people vote based on their beliefs rather than their identity.”
“This is bad news for Democrats,” he said. explained.
Do you like Blaze News? Avoid censorship and sign up for our newsletter to get articles like this delivered straight to your inbox. Please register here!
