Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in the national race for the White House, according to a Quinnipiac University poll.
Trump Take the lead Biden and Trump face off ahead of Thursday’s presidential debate. The poll shows Trump leading Biden by 4 percentage points: 49 percent approval, 45 percent disapproval. That marks a shift from a May Quinnipiac University poll that showed Biden ahead with 48 percent and Trump ahead with 47 percent. In other words, the controversial guilty verdict handed down by a Manhattan jury in Trump’s business records trial has not hurt Trump in any way. Instead, it seems to be Biden who is suffering.
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Trump also leads among independents with 51 percent approval, 10 percentage points more than Biden’s 41 percent.
In matchups against third-party candidates, Trump still leads Biden with 43% approval, six points more than Biden’s 37%, meaning Trump has increased by five points and Biden has fallen by four points since the May survey.
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was a distant third with 11 percent support, followed by Independent candidate Cornel West with 2 percent, Green Party candidate Jill Stein with 2 percent, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver with 1 percent.
📊 National Poll: Quinnipiac
Trump: 49% [+2]
Biden: 45% [-3]
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Trump: 43% [+5]
Biden: 37% [-4]
RFK Jr.: 11% [-3]
Stein: 2% [=]
West: 2% [=]
Oliver: 1% [new][+/- change vs May]
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538: #19 (2.8/3.0) | 1,405 RV| 6/20-24https://t.co/4zsteM2lPe pic.twitter.com/ZIRQBiTzJ5— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) June 26, 2024
The survey, released ahead of Thursday’s presidential debate, found that a majority of voters (73%) say they plan to watch the debate, but most (82%) acknowledge they are unlikely to change their presidential candidate based on debate performance.
The survey was conducted among 1,405 people who self-identify as registered voters from June 20 to 24, 2024. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.
