A new national poll released Sunday suggests Vice President Kamala Harris' approval rating is falling and could soon fall even more dramatically.
Latest
The New York Times/Siena College The poll surveyed approximately 1,700 registered voters between September 3 and 6, asking who they would vote for if the election were held today. 48% said they would vote for President Donald Trump and 47% said they would vote for Harris.
When minor candidates are included, Trump leads Harris by two points, 48% to 46%.
Times
Suggested The results were surprising because “for the first time in nearly a month, Trump has the lead in a major nonpartisan national poll.”
Nate Silver, statistician and founder of FiveThirtyEight Suggested Over the weekend, it was reported that the poll numbers were “slightly worse for Harris than the last NYT/Siena national poll conducted in July, but significantly worse than a series of battleground state polls conducted by the Times in early August.”
'The honeymoon is officially over,' says Trump spokesman Jason Miller
said Politico reported, “Kamala Harris has been exposed as a far-left figure responsible for the destruction of our economy and borders.”
In the coming weeks, Harris said:joy” anti-Trump attack.
Just 12% of respondents said they needed to know more about Trump, while 31% said the same about Harris. 63% of respondents said they wanted to know more about Harris' policies and plans.
While voters appear keen to know more about Harris' policies, leading Democrats have suggested in recent weeks that she should ignore the “details” and continue to focus on “tone.”
“If she has a good night, all of this won't matter.”
Rep. Annie Kuster (R.N.H.), chair of the New Democrat Coalition, said:
said “I don't think there's any strong reason for her to try to rule out any views at this point,” he told CNN.
However, secrecy is not always a winning strategy.
“I don't know what Kamala's plan is,” Dawn Conley, a small business owner in Tennessee, told The Times. “It's hard to make a decision when you don't know what the other party's policies are going to be.”
Tuesday's presidential debate will be an opportunity for Harris to ditch the platitudes and show Americans some fundamental ideas about how to run the free world.
Nate Silver
Suggested “All of this won't matter if she has a good night at the debate.”
But the debate will also be an opportunity for Trump to publicly attack Harris on three of the top four issues poll respondents said would determine their November vote – the economy, immigration, inflation and the cost of living.
When asked which candidate they thought would best address their top issues, 50% of respondents said Trump and 43% said Harris.
On the economy, 56% said Trump would do a better job compared to 40% who said Harris would, and on immigration, 53% said Trump would do a better job compared to 42% who said Harris would.
However, Harris was widely expected to do better on the abortion issue.
There are some issues where Harris appears to be on the wrong side with large segments of voters: For example, 65% of respondents support increasing domestic production of fossil fuels, and a majority (51%) oppose federal laws that impose price controls on food and grocery items.
Harris's push for price controls, climate change-fueling U.S. energy regulations and other proposals appears to have led most Americans to view her as a radical.
“Voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not Comrade Kamala's weak, failed and dangerously liberal policies.”
Only 32% of respondents said Trump Too Forty-seven percent of conservative voters said Harris was too liberal/progressive, while 56% of men said she was too left-leaning, compared with 40% of women.
Harris' ties to Biden could come back to bite her in the November election, as most respondents (63%) want the next president to “represent a big change from Joe Biden.”
When asked who is to blame for the failures of the Biden-Harris administration, 55% of respondents said Harris should be somewhat or very much held responsible for rising prices, 63% said she should be somewhat or very much held responsible for the border issue, and 49% said she should be somewhat or very much held responsible for the failure to withdraw U.S. troops from Afghanistan, a bill that Harris boasted she had signed into law.
While Harris may not be able to escape responsibility for her recent failures, she has proven her ability to score points in key battleground states.
The two candidates are tied in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, according to a Times average of battleground state polls. Harris appears to have a 3-point lead in Wisconsin, 2-point lead in Michigan and 1-point lead in Pennsylvania.
Last week's YouGov/CBS News poll
Shown Harris and Trump are tied in Pennsylvania, while Democrats have leads in Wisconsin and Michigan by two and one percentage point, respectively.
The Times/Siena poll also found that Trump's popularity is higher than previous polling data showed him leading in the 2016 and 2020 elections. Overall, 46% of voters said they have a somewhat favorable or very favorable view of Trump. By comparison, 45% of voters expressed the same view of Harris.
Trump campaign spokesman Stephen Chang
said “Pollars show that President Trump is leading nationally and in battleground states because voters want a return to pro-America policies that actually work, not Comrade Kamala's weak, failed and dangerously liberal policies,” Newsweek said in a statement.
Trump campaign
attention“We continue to see a sustained pattern of President Trump outperforming Black voters (17-74 registered voters; Trump +5 points compared to 2020, Harris 13 points behind Biden) and Hispanic voters (42-51 registered voters; Trump +10 points compared to 2020, Harris 14 points behind Biden).”
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