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The Memo: Risks increase as Trump approaches direct involvement in Israel’s actions against Iran

The Memo: Risks increase as Trump approaches direct involvement in Israel's actions against Iran

President Trump appears to be feeling more pressure regarding his support for Israel’s actions against Iran as opportunities for U.S. involvement continue to develop rapidly.

On Tuesday afternoon, he met with his top advisor in the White House situation room to discuss the ongoing crisis and later spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as reported by Israeli media.

The situation is notably complex, especially as Trump seeks to rally America to support foreign involvement regarding Iran while also tapping into his “Make America Great Again” base.

There’s a lingering uncertainty about the ultimate goal of U.S. military involvement: is it merely about targeting Iranian uranium enrichment facilities, or is there an aim to change the Iranian government?

Economic and logistical concerns also come into play, particularly regarding how a full-scale war might impact oil prices and the critical shipping lanes through the Strait of Hormuz.

On Tuesday, Trump’s tone online was the most confrontational yet, with posts that included calls for an “Unconditional Suspension!”—though the specifics of what he meant by that were unclear.

His comments were aimed at Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, hinting at previous Israeli plans to target him as conflicts escalated.

Moreover, when Trump uses “we,” it suggests a direct collaboration between the U.S. and Israel, something that hasn’t gone unnoticed. He mentioned, not long ago, that “we are now in full and complete control of the skies over Iran,” underscoring the tension since Israel’s strikes just days prior. This statement led Secretary of State Marco Rubio to clarify that while Israel took action against Iran, the U.S. is not directly engaged in those strikes, emphasizing the priority of protecting American troops in the area.

However, as Trump moves closer to a potential U.S.-Israel military operation against Iran, he faces criticism, even from within his own political base. Figures like Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, former strategist Steve Bannon, and commentator Tucker Carlson have raised concerns about getting entangled in yet another Middle Eastern conflict.

Greene made clear on social media that Americans were wary of being drawn into the Israel-Iran conflict, insisting that the government prioritize domestic issues like energy costs and inflation over foreign wars.

Carlson has emerged as a notable voice opposing military involvement abroad, expressing skepticism about extensive U.S. support for Israel. In a recent interview, Bannon noted that a core tenet of the MAGA movement has been to avoid prolonged military engagements.

Trump’s potential plunge into direct support for Israel’s military actions could risk fracturing his political coalition, especially considering the issue of “Mission Creep,” where initial military objectives expand beyond the original scope.

On the flip side, there are voices within the GOP, like Senator Lindsey Graham, advocating for robust support of Israel, especially if tensions with Iran escalate.

If Trump deviates from current expectations and keeps the U.S. out of direct conflict, he risks backlash from pro-Israel factions, both inside his party and beyond, which may see him as shirking responsibility at a pivotal moment.

Ultimately, weighing risks and benefits is crucial, especially for a president who has prided himself on avoiding new wars.

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